Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Action + Sci-fi: a typical launch earns $283 in its first year
That is the median of 270 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 33 of 541 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 33.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 28% on the year before: 418 against 326.
- Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games
- Price
- $283 median of 270 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −41.7% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 418 326 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 1,334 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 4,083 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 2.38%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.98% to 4.23% | 116 ranked of 1,335 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #3,975 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 1.00xhits against expected | 0.78x to 1.29x | 541 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #2,805 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +16%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +6% to +34% | 116 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #867 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +10%review growth against same-age games | +2% to +17% | 116 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #308 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 541
- Hit rate
- 6.1%5.1% to 7.5%
- Expected rate
- 6.1%
- Against expected
- 1.00x0.78x to 1.29x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
541 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $304
- Top tenth
- $24,587
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +28%
- Against Steam
- −6%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- RoboCop: Rogue City (opens the Steam store)2023 · 28,380 reviews, 86% positiveest. $22M
- STAR WARS™: Battlefront Classic Collection (opens the Steam store)2024 · 7,125 reviews, 23% positiveest. $5.1M
- Jump Space (opens the Steam store)2025 · 11,203 reviews, 85% positiveest. $4.5M
- LOCKDOWN Protocol (opens the Steam store)2024 · 16,637 reviews, 86% positiveest. $3.3M
- Selaco (opens the Steam store)2024 · 4,792 reviews, 93% positiveest. $2.4M
- Warhammer 40,000: Mechanicus II (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,103 reviews, 52% positiveest. $1.7M
- Revenge of the Savage Planet (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,855 reviews, 86% positiveest. $1.6M
- Voidling Bound (opens the Steam store)2026 · 3,153 reviews, 92% positiveest. $1.6M
More with Action
pairs with Action- Action + Mechs$7,85932 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- Action + Bullet Heaven$6,31331 launches priced, 177 releases in 12 months
- Action + Co-op$3,733172 launches priced, 259 releases in 12 months
- Action + Team-Based$2,97239 launches priced, 71 releases in 12 months
- Action + Metroidvania$2,893107 launches priced, 128 releases in 12 months
- Action + Fighting$2,52840 launches priced, 34 releases in 12 months
More with Sci-fi
pairs with Sci-fi- Sci-fi + Anime$4,24936 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- Sci-fi + Cyberpunk$3,08346 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
- Sci-fi + Cute$1,80330 launches priced, 31 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Sci-fi$1,61786 launches priced, 117 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Sci-fi$1,61665 launches priced, 76 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Sci-fi$1,457125 launches priced, 163 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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