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on 4 Oct 2026

Niches / 3D + Third Person

Niche

3D + Third Person

Games tagged both 3D and Third Person: 924 indie paid launches, 29 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing 3D + Third Person priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with 3D and is about level with Third Person; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

3D + Third Person trails both its tags: 12.7 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 16.3 in 100 for 3D and 17.8 in 100 for Third Person.

That is about 0.6 times the 20.4 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

TIEA tie
Tag onemood tag3D
16.3in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds16.3 in 100
Typical earnings$5,973
Launches798 / 130 hits
Pair trails by3.6 in 100
3RDThird
This pair3D + Third Person
12.7in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds12.7 in 100
Typical earnings$4,101
Launches126 / 16 hits
Expected20.4 in 100
TIEA tie
Tag twomood tagThird Person
17.8in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds17.8 in 100
Typical earnings$6,068
Launches242 / 43 hits
Pair trails by5.1 in 100
All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $203D is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices924 in pairUnder $5501 in pair$5 to $10253 in pair$10 to $20126 in pair$20 to $4044 in pair
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 126 games tagged both 3D and Third Person priced $10 to $20. 12.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 17.0 in 100 for 3D-only games and 23.3 in 100 for Third Person-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.

Both: 126 games priced $10 to $20; 12.7 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $4,101.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 126 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Rooftops & Alleys: The Parkour Gameleads this pair12.7%
PairRooftops & Alleys: The Parkour Game12.7%
3DR.E.P.O.16.5%
Third PersonThe Forever Winter14.9%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads 3D + Third Person

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Rooftops & Alleys: The Parkour Game earned 12.7% of the estimated first-year money of the 924 3D + Third Person launches.
  • 3D is led by R.E.P.O., with 16.5% of its money.
  • Third Person is led by The Forever Winter, with 14.9% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

3D + Third Person holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

3D + Third Person through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view894 of 924 launchesWithout the breakout923 of 924 launchesLast 18 months262 of 924 launches
Launches counted92429 hits89429 hits92328 hits26211 hits
Earned $100k+3.1 in 1001 in 323.2 in 1001 in 313.0 in 1001 in 334.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings$234top tenth $11,661+$236$230$268
Chance against standardthe base+3.4%0.1 more in 100-3.3%0.1 fewer in 100+33.8%1.1 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+0.9%$2 more-1.7%$4 less+14.5%$34 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and Third Person, 12 to 36 months old: 924 launches.

Launches counted
92429 hits
Earned $100k+
3.1 in 1001 in 32
Typical first-year earnings
$234top tenth $11,661+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 30 of 924 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
89429 hits
Earned $100k+
3.2 in 1001 in 31
Typical first-year earnings
$236
Chance against standard
+3.4%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
+0.9%$2 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Rooftops & Alleys: The Parkour Game (12.7% of the money): 923 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
92328 hits
Earned $100k+
3.0 in 1001 in 33
Typical first-year earnings
$230
Chance against standard
-3.3%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-1.7%$4 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 262 of 924.

Launches counted
26211 hits
Earned $100k+
4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings
$268
Chance against standard
+33.8%1.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
+14.5%$34 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and Third Person, 12 to 36 months old: 924 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 30 of 924 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Rooftops & Alleys: The Parkour Game (12.7% of the money): 923 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 262 of 924.

3D is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

3D through every lens, all prices
3DBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view5,910 of 6,129 launchesWithout the breakout6,128 of 6,129 launchesLast 18 months1,744 of 6,129 launches
Launches counted6,129266 hits5,910260 hits6,128265 hits1,74490 hits
Earned $100k+4.3 in 1001 in 234.4 in 1001 in 234.3 in 1001 in 235.2 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings$351top tenth $15,677+$365$351$421
Chance against standardthe base+1.4%0.1 more in 100-0.4%no change+18.9%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+4.0%$14 more0.0%no change+19.9%$70 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 12 to 36 months old: 6,129 launches.

Launches counted
6,129266 hits
Earned $100k+
4.3 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings
$351top tenth $15,677+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 219 of 6,129 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
5,910260 hits
Earned $100k+
4.4 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings
$365
Chance against standard
+1.4%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
+4.0%$14 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (16.5% of the money): 6,128 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
6,128265 hits
Earned $100k+
4.3 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings
$351
Chance against standard
-0.4%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,744 of 6,129.

Launches counted
1,74490 hits
Earned $100k+
5.2 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings
$421
Chance against standard
+18.9%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standard
+19.9%$70 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 12 to 36 months old: 6,129 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 219 of 6,129 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (16.5% of the money): 6,128 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,744 of 6,129.

Third Person holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Third Person through every lens, all prices
Third PersonBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,435 of 1,487 launchesWithout the breakout1,486 of 1,487 launchesLast 18 months425 of 1,487 launches
Launches counted1,48787 hits1,43586 hits1,48686 hits42527 hits
Earned $100k+5.9 in 1001 in 176.0 in 1001 in 175.8 in 1001 in 176.4 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings$295top tenth $26,884+$313$295$307
Chance against standardthe base+2.4%0.1 more in 100-1.1%0.1 fewer in 100+8.6%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+6.1%$18 more0.0%no change+4.1%$12 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Third Person, 12 to 36 months old: 1,487 launches.

Launches counted
1,48787 hits
Earned $100k+
5.9 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$295top tenth $26,884+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 52 of 1,487 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,43586 hits
Earned $100k+
6.0 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$313
Chance against standard
+2.4%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
+6.1%$18 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Forever Winter (14.9% of the money): 1,486 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,48686 hits
Earned $100k+
5.8 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$295
Chance against standard
-1.1%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 425 of 1,487.

Launches counted
42527 hits
Earned $100k+
6.4 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings
$307
Chance against standard
+8.6%0.5 more in 100
Typical against standard
+4.1%$12 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Third Person, 12 to 36 months old: 1,487 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 52 of 1,487 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, The Forever Winter (14.9% of the money): 1,486 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 425 of 1,487.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when 3D + Third Person moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.