Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / 3D + Third Person
3D + Third Person
Games tagged both 3D and Third Person: 1,031 indie paid launches, 34 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing 3D + Third Person priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
3D + Third Person trails both its tags: 9.4 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 14.3 in 100 for 3D and 15.0 in 100 for Third Person.
That is 1 in 11, about 0.5 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 149 games tagged both 3D and Third Person priced $10 to $20. 9.4 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 15.3 for 3D-only games and 21.8 for Third Person-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 149 games priced $10 to $20; 9.4 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 11), typical first-year earnings $2,590.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 149 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
3D + Third Person holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view990 of 1,031 launches | Without the breakout1,030 of 1,031 launches | Last 18 months567 of 1,031 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,03134 hits | 99033 hits | 1,03033 hits | 56718 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.3 in 1001 in 30 | 3.3 in 1001 in 30 | 3.2 in 1001 in 31 | 3.2 in 1001 in 31 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $261top tenth $11,639+ | $282 | $261 | $243 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -3.0%0.1 fewer in 100 | -3.0%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +8.0%$21 more | 0.0%no change | -6.9%$18 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both 3D and Third Person, 6 to 30 months old: 1,031 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 41 of 1,031 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Rooftops & Alleys: The Parkour Game (13.6% of the money): 1,030 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 567 of 1,031.
3D holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| 3D | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view6,601 of 6,819 launches | Without the breakout6,818 of 6,819 launches | Last 18 months3,701 of 6,819 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 6,819286 hits | 6,601279 hits | 6,818285 hits | 3,701152 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $404top tenth $16,029+ | $405 | $404 | $404 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -2.4%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged 3D, 6 to 30 months old: 6,819 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 218 of 6,819 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (17.8% of the money): 6,818 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,701 of 6,819.
Third Person holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Third Person | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,564 of 1,628 launches | Without the breakout1,627 of 1,628 launches | Last 18 months893 of 1,628 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,62893 hits | 1,56491 hits | 1,62792 hits | 89348 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 | 5.4 in 1001 in 19 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $324top tenth $24,288+ | $364 | $324 | $304 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.8%0.1 more in 100 | 0.0%no change | -5.3%0.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +12.3%$40 more | 0.0%no change | -6.2%$20 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Third Person, 6 to 30 months old: 1,628 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 64 of 1,628 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, The Forever Winter (13.7% of the money): 1,627 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 893 of 1,628.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when 3D + Third Person moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.