Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
2D + Logic: a typical launch earns $242 in its first year
That is the median of 197 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 7 of 399 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 11.6 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 33% on the year before: 292 against 219.
- Price
- $242 median of 197 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −31.6% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 292 219 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 399 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,670 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.10%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.05% to 0.15% | 14 ranked of 399 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,711 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.69xhits against expected | 0.47x to 1.08x | 399 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #4,822 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +10%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −9% to +30% | 35 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,116 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +7%review growth against same-age games | −1% to +19% | 35 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #449 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 399
- Hit rate
- 1.8%0.8% to 4.5%
- Expected rate
- 2.9%
- Against expected
- 0.69x0.47x to 1.08x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
399 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $202
- Top tenth
- $4,425
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +33%
- Against Steam
- −2%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Staffer Retro : A Supernatural Mystery Quest (opens the Steam store)2026 · 968 reviews, 89% positiveest. $490k
- Strange Jigsaws (opens the Steam store)2025 · 4,691 reviews, 99% positiveest. $462k
- Proverbs (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,812 reviews, 96% positiveest. $330k
- Database Detective: Minor Crimes Division (opens the Steam store)2026 · 936 reviews, 97% positiveest. $284k
- Mind Over Magnet (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,348 reviews, 89% positiveest. $273k
- Confidential Killings - A Detective Game (opens the Steam store)2026 · 720 reviews, 76% positiveest. $219k
- Maxwell's puzzling demon (opens the Steam store)2024 · 416 reviews, 98% positiveest. $126k
- Bat to the Heavens (opens the Steam store)2024 · 409 reviews, 95% positiveest. $124k
More with 2D
pairs with 2D- 2D + Roguelike Deckbuilder$6,77234 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Romance$3,28176 launches priced, 110 releases in 12 months
- War + 2D$3,16035 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Dating Sim$2,55991 launches priced, 116 releases in 12 months
- 2D + LGBTQ+$2,46550 launches priced, 85 releases in 12 months
- 2D + Historical$2,32474 launches priced, 130 releases in 12 months
More with Logic
pairs with Logic- Difficult + Logic$1,87747 launches priced, 36 releases in 12 months
- Cute + Logic$1,13385 launches priced, 101 releases in 12 months
- Mystery + Logic$72833 launches priced, 71 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + Logic$71766 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
- Exploration + Logic$60752 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
- Adventure + Logic$60681 launches priced, 116 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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