Genres

Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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191,514
on 30 Sep 2026

Genres 1 Oct

Of 166 genres with 30+ launches at $10 to $20, 89 beat the 19 in 100 base rate. Price moves the odds most: 1 in 192 under $5, 42 in 100 at $20 to $40.89 of 166 genres beat the 19 in 100 base rate.89 beat the base rate.

Cohort median $606

Genres

Every genre, screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than genre does.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

The genre list

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Now: FMV, 47 in 100. 166 match.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: FMV, 47 in 100. 125 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: FMV, $81,191 typical. 166 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Now: Crime, $1.5M top 1 in 10. 129 match.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Cozy, 45 in 100. 45 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: Simulation, 1,006 launches. 166 match.
Hide one-hit markets+13 if offHide small samples+21 if offHolds in every lens+9 if off

166 of 266 genres have 30+ launches at $10 to $20. 104 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, lowest first.

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Genres at $10 to $20, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#GenreChance of $100k+Typical yearTop 1 in 10LaunchesMarkersPin
All games at $10 to $20the base rate: the row to beat 19 in 100893 of 4,810 $9,226$248,075 4,810
1 1 in 17 earned $100k+, from 186 launches 1 in 1711 hits $3,238 $49,782 186 none Pin VR
2 1 in 15 earned $100k+, from 189 launches 1 in 1513 hits $1,619 $50,242 189 none Pin Hidden Object
3 1 in 14 earned $100k+, from 123 launches 1 in 149 hits $6,071 $67,084 123 none Pin Magic
4 1 in 13 earned $100k+, from 141 launches 1 in 1311 hits $5,584 $86,922 141 Audience Pin Party-Based RPG
5 1 in 12 earned $100k+, from 137 launches 1 in 1211 hits $7,222 $71,244 137 Audience Pin Puzzle Platformer
6 1 in 10 earned $100k+, from 115 launches 1 in 1011 hits $6,071 $89,850 115 none Pin Board Game
7 1 in 10 earned $100k+, from 51 launches 1 in 105 hits $2,429 $97,151 51 Audience Pin Space Sim
8 10 in 100 earned $100k+, from 181 launches 10 in 10019 hits $5,767 $101,418 181 none Pin JRPG
9 Tabletop11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 75 launches 11 in 1008 hits $6,477 $114,321 75 none Pin Tabletop

11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 75 launches at $10 to $20. That is about 0.6 times the base rate.

Base rate at $10 to $20: 19 in 100 (893 of 4,810 launches earned $100k+).

Typical first year $6,477; the top 1 in 10 earned at least $114,321.

Lens check, all pricesHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.

No warning markers: no single game holds half the money, the sample is 50+ launches and the audience split is small.

Chance of $100k+ at every price (Standard lens)
PriceChanceLaunchesTypical
All prices1 in 28568$303
Under $51 in 326326$101
$5 to $101 in 73146$809
$10 to $2011 in 10075$6,477
$20 to $409 of 21 launches21$60,220

Grey: under 30 launches at that price, written as a count. Odds compare best within one price.

Best tag pairs inside, at $10 to $20

Open genre pageCheck this idea
10 11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 384 launches 11 in 10041 hits $3,643 $106,057 384 none Pin Arcade
11 11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 55 launches 11 in 1006 hits $3,116 $144,500 55 none Pin Score Attack
12 11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 208 launches 11 in 10023 hits $3,157 $156,119 208 none Pin 3D Platformer
13 12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 110 launches 12 in 10013 hits $6,576 $124,151 110 none Pin Logic
14 12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 117 launches 12 in 10014 hits $3,886 $118,418 117 Audience Pin Real Time Tactics
15 12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 50 launches 12 in 1006 hits $3,238 $237,211 50 Audience Pin Arena Shooter
16 12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 173 launches 12 in 10021 hits $4,007 $118,201 173 Audience Pin Sports
17 12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 57 launches 12 in 1007 hits $6,072 $231,544 57 Audience Pin 2D Fighter
18 13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 88 launches 13 in 10011 hits $8,499 $137,311 88 none Pin Precision Platformer
19 13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 64 launches 13 in 1008 hits $7,891 $110,105 64 none Pin Supernatural
20 13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 181 launches 13 in 10023 hits $7,691 $138,114 181 none Pin Romance
21 13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 317 launches 13 in 10041 hits $6,193 $174,231 317 none Pin 2D Platformer
22 13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 107 launches 13 in 10014 hits $5,262 $195,922 107 none Pin Shoot 'Em Up
23 13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 254 launches 13 in 10034 hits $4,553 $173,636 254 none Pin Choose Your Own Adventure
24 13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 89 launches 13 in 10012 hits $11,231 $188,807 89 none Pin Wargame
25 14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 80 launches 14 in 10011 hits $13,356 $200,375 80 none Pin Cyberpunk
Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 104 genres
green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.