Best niches
$10 to $20Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch
Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches 1 Oct
Of 1,269 niches with 30+ launches at $10 to $20, 581 beat the 19 in 100 base rate. Price moves the odds most: 1 in 192 under $5, 42 in 100 at $20 to $40.581 of 1,269 niches beat the 19 in 100 base rate.581 beat the base rate.
Cohort median $606
Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.
Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.
Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch
1,269 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at $10 to $20. 114 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.
| Rank# | Niche | Chance of $100k+ | Typical year | Top 1 in 10 | Launches | Markers | Pin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games at $10 to $20the base rate: the row to beat | 19 in 100893 of 4,810 | $9,226 | $248,075 | 4,810 | |||
| 1 | Immersive Sim + RPG40 in 100 earned $100k+, from 42 launches | 40 in 10017 hits | $53,552 | $1,014,240 | 42 | SmallAudience | Pin Immersive Sim + RPG |
| 2 | Open World + RPG34 in 100 earned $100k+, from 92 launches | 34 in 10031 hits | $26,312 | $358,651 | 92 | 1-hit | Pin Open World + RPG |
| 3 | RPG + Sandbox33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 55 launches | 33 in 10018 hits | $17,161 | $615,657 | 55 | none | Pin RPG + Sandbox |
| 4 | Management + RPG32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 31 launches | 32 in 10010 hits | $31,382 | $750,081 | 31 | SmallAudience | Pin Management + RPG |
| 5 | Dating Sim + RPG31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 54 launches | 31 in 10017 hits | $25,907 | $512,712 | 54 | Audience | Pin Dating Sim + RPG |
| 6 | Life Sim + RPG30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 53 launches | 30 in 10016 hits | $29,789 | $369,985 | 53 | Audience | Pin Life Sim + RPG |
| 7 | Action RPG + Open World27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 48 launches | 27 in 10013 hits | $8,803 | $368,366 | 48 | 1-hitSmall | Pin Action RPG + Open World |
| 8 | Action RPG + Action Roguelike27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 60 launches | 27 in 10016 hits | $13,053 | $350,584 | 60 | 1-hitAudience | Pin Action RPG + Action Roguelike |
| 9 | Farming Sim + RPG27 in 100 earned $100k+, from 30 launches | 27 in 1008 hits | $35,622 | $369,985 | 30 | SmallAudience | Pin Farming Sim + RPG |
| 10 | RPG + Simulation26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 119 launches | 26 in 10031 hits | $19,752 | $358,651 | 119 | none | Pin RPG + Simulation |
| 11 | Multiple Endings + RPG26 in 100 earned $100k+, from 54 launches | 26 in 10014 hits | $36,729 | $482,330 | 54 | none | Pin Multiple Endings + RPG |
| 12 | First-Person + RPG25 in 100 earned $100k+, from 77 launches | 25 in 10019 hits | $14,978 | $412,826 | 77 | none | Pin First-Person + RPG |
| 13 | Character Customization + RPG25 in 100 earned $100k+, from 65 launches | 25 in 10016 hits | $16,088 | $239,708 | 65 | 1-hit | Pinned Character Customization + RPG |
| 14 | Medieval + RPG24 in 100 earned $100k+, from 37 launches | 24 in 1009 hits | $12,142 | $218,591 | 37 | SmallAudience | Pin Medieval + RPG |
| 15 | RPG + Romance24 in 100 earned $100k+, from 33 launches | 24 in 1008 hits | $19,123 | $308,526 | 33 | 1-hitSmall | Pinned RPG + Romance |
| 16 | Action RPG + Roguelite24 in 100 earned $100k+, from 42 launches | 24 in 10010 hits | $11,572 | $268,381 | 42 | 1-hitSmall | Pin Action RPG + Roguelite |
| 17 | Action RPG + Roguelike24 in 100 earned $100k+, from 38 launches | 24 in 1009 hits | $14,731 | $350,584 | 38 | 1-hitSmallAudience | Pin Action RPG + Roguelike |
| 18 | RPG + Roguelite24 in 100 earned $100k+, from 106 launches | 24 in 10025 hits | $14,570 | $251,784 | 106 | none | Pin RPG + Roguelite |
| 19 | Crafting + RPG23 in 100 earned $100k+, from 47 launches | 23 in 10011 hits | $18,938 | $275,667 | 47 | Small | Pin Crafting + RPG |
| 20 | Creature Collector + RPG23 in 100 earned $100k+, from 30 launches | 23 in 1007 hits | $27,623 | $271,766 | 30 | Small | Pin Creature Collector + RPG |
| 21 | Card Game + RPG23 in 100 earned $100k+, from 43 launches | 23 in 10010 hits | $21,859 | $246,629 | 43 | Small | Pin Card Game + RPG |
| 22 | Action RPG + Hack and Slash23 in 100 earned $100k+, from 74 launches | 23 in 10017 hits | $12,142 | $268,381 | 74 | none | Pin Action RPG + Hack and Slash |
| 23 | Horror + RPG23 in 100 earned $100k+, from 40 launches | 23 in 1009 hits | $11,838 | $234,438 | 40 | Small | Pin Horror + RPG |
| 24 | 2D + Action RPG22 in 100 earned $100k+, from 54 launches | 22 in 10012 hits | $15,177 | $183,373 | 54 | none | Pin 2D + Action RPG |
| 25 | Action RPG + Exploration22 in 100 earned $100k+, from 91 launches | 22 in 10020 hits | $12,628 | $273,193 | 91 | 1-hit | Pin Action RPG + Exploration |
Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.