Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches 2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches 3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches 4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches 5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Without the breakout

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Drops the single biggest earner. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 Without the breakout 30+ launches Reset

The Without the breakout lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: FMV + Immersive Sim, 39 in 100. 1,757 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Co-op + Open World, $83,230 typical. 5,145 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Base Building + Colony Sim, 33 in 100. 798 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 4,337 launches. 5,145 match.

Hide one-hit markets1,263 out Hide small samples+975 if off

5,145 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, Without the breakout. 4,170 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

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Niches at any price, Without the breakout, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, Without the breakoutthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	FMV + Immersive Sim39 in 100 earned $100k+, from 54 launches	39 in 10021 hits	$47,398	not computed	54	none	Pin FMV + Immersive Sim
2	Base Building + Open World Survival Craft35 in 100 earned $100k+, from 51 launches	35 in 10018 hits	$40,281	not computed	51	1-hit	Pin Base Building + Open World Survival Craft
3	Character Customization + Open World35 in 100 earned $100k+, from 69 launches	35 in 10024 hits	$12,947	not computed	69	1-hit	Pin Character Customization + Open World
4	Multiplayer + Sandbox33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 78 launches	33 in 10026 hits	$24,891	not computed	78	none	Pin Multiplayer + Sandbox
5	Base Building + Colony Sim33 in 100 earned $100k+, from 100 launches	33 in 10033 hits	$27,623	not computed	100	none	Pin Base Building + Colony Sim
6	Open World Survival Craft + Survival32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 75 launches	32 in 10024 hits	$21,307	not computed	75	none	Pin Open World Survival Craft + Survival
7	Dating Sim + FMV32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 66 launches	32 in 10021 hits	$37,833	not computed	66	Audience	Pin Dating Sim + FMV
8	Base Building + Management32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 142 launches	32 in 10045 hits	$14,874	not computed	142	none	Pin Base Building + Management
9	Multiplayer + Open World32 in 100 earned $100k+, from 79 launches	32 in 10025 hits	$24,891	not computed	79	1-hit	Pin Multiplayer + Open World
10	Co-op + FPS31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 51 launches	31 in 10016 hits	$3,436	not computed	51	none	Pin Co-op + FPS
11	Colony Sim + Sandbox31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 67 launches	31 in 10021 hits	$8,499	not computed	67	Audience	Pin Colony Sim + Sandbox
12	Base Building + Sandbox31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 166 launches	31 in 10052 hits	$8,568	not computed	166	Audience	Pin Base Building + Sandbox
13	FMV + Visual Novel31 in 100 earned $100k+, from 71 launches	31 in 10022 hits	$37,833	not computed	71	Audience	Pin FMV + Visual Novel
14	Cozy + Farming Sim30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 50 launches	30 in 10015 hits	$22,342	not computed	50	none	Pin Cozy + Farming Sim
15	Colony Sim + Management30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 81 launches	30 in 10024 hits	$16,148	not computed	81	none	Pin Colony Sim + Management
16	Crafting + Open World Survival Craft30 in 100 earned $100k+, from 61 launches	30 in 10018 hits	$29,142	not computed	61	1-hit	Pin Crafting + Open World Survival Craft
17	Co-op + Survival29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 82 launches	29 in 10024 hits	$15,273	not computed	82	1-hit	Pin Co-op + Survival
18	Driving + Open World29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 65 launches	29 in 10019 hits	$6,069	not computed	65	none	Pin Driving + Open World
19	Driving + Exploration29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 62 launches	29 in 10018 hits	$3,544	not computed	62	none	Pin Driving + Exploration
20	Cozy + Life Sim29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 59 launches	29 in 10017 hits	$15,561	not computed	59	none	Pin Cozy + Life Sim
21	Crime + Simulation29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 59 launches	29 in 10017 hits	$3,338	not computed	59	1-hit	Pin Crime + Simulation
22	Base Building + Crafting29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 146 launches	29 in 10042 hits	$18,453	not computed	146	1-hit	Pin Base Building + Crafting
23	Co-op + PvE29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 98 launches	29 in 10028 hits	$8,185	not computed	98	none	Pin Co-op + PvE
24	Multiplayer + Realistic29 in 100 earned $100k+, from 91 launches	29 in 10026 hits	$7,642	not computed	91	none	Pin Multiplayer + Realistic
25	City Builder + Management28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 137 launches	28 in 10039 hits	$9,097	not computed	137	1-hit	Pin City Builder + Management

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 4,170 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.