Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches 2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches 3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches 4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches 5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Without the breakout

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Drops the single biggest earner. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 Without the breakout 30+ launches Reset

The Without the breakout lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: FMV + Immersive Sim, 39 in 100. 1,757 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Co-op + Open World, $83,230 typical. 5,145 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Base Building + Colony Sim, 33 in 100. 798 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 4,337 launches. 5,145 match.

Hide one-hit markets100 out Hide small samples47 out

5,145 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, Without the breakout. 229 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

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Niches at any price, Without the breakout, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, Without the breakoutthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	Co-op + Shooter23 in 100 earned $100k+, from 70 launches	23 in 10016 hits	$2,549	not computed	70	1-hit	Pin Co-op + Shooter
2	Immersive Sim + Shooter21 in 100 earned $100k+, from 48 launches	21 in 10010 hits	$1,456	not computed	48	SmallAudience	Pin Immersive Sim + Shooter
3	Horror + Third-Person Shooter20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 46 launches	20 in 1009 hits	$810	not computed	46	1-hitSmall	Pin Horror + Third-Person Shooter
4	Shooter + Story Rich19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 80 launches	19 in 10015 hits	$1,457	not computed	80	none	Pin Shooter + Story Rich
5	Online Co-Op + Shooter18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 65 launches	18 in 10012 hits	$2,972	not computed	65	none	Pin Online Co-Op + Shooter
6	Gun Customization + Shooter18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 56 launches	18 in 10010 hits	$1,617	not computed	56	none	Pin Gun Customization + Shooter
7	Multiplayer + Third-Person Shooter18 in 100 earned $100k+, from 45 launches	18 in 1008 hits	$909	not computed	45	SmallAudience	Pin Multiplayer + Third-Person Shooter
8	Gore + Shooter16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 81 launches	16 in 10013 hits	$809	not computed	81	1-hit	Pin Gore + Shooter
9	Open World + Shooter15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 73 launches	15 in 10011 hits	$1,214	not computed	73	1-hit	Pin Open World + Shooter
10	Fast-Paced + Shooter14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 50 launches	14 in 1007 hits	$2,186	not computed	50	none	Pin Fast-Paced + Shooter
11	Realistic + Shooter13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 160 launches	13 in 10021 hits	$566	not computed	160	none	Pin Realistic + Shooter
12	Shooter + Tactical13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 54 launches	13 in 1007 hits	$486	not computed	54	1-hit	Pin Shooter + Tactical
13	Survival Horror + Third-Person Shooter13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 40 launches	13 in 1005 hits	$849	not computed	40	1-hitSmall	Pin Survival Horror + Third-Person Shooter
14	Horror + Shooter12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 230 launches	12 in 10028 hits	$725	not computed	230	none	Pin Horror + Shooter
15	Shooter + VR12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 110 launches	12 in 10013 hits	$1,214	not computed	110	none	Pin Shooter + VR
16	Military + Shooter11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 106 launches	11 in 10012 hits	$405	not computed	106	1-hit	Pin Military + Shooter
17	Physics + Shooter11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 62 launches	11 in 1007 hits	$606	not computed	62	none	Pin Physics + Shooter
18	Sandbox + Shooter11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 66 launches	11 in 1007 hits	$485	not computed	66	none	Pin Sandbox + Shooter
19	Shooter + Violent11 in 100 earned $100k+, from 76 launches	11 in 1008 hits	$728	not computed	76	Audience	Pin Shooter + Violent
20	FPS + Looter Shooter10 in 100 earned $100k+, from 48 launches	10 in 1005 hits	$809	not computed	48	1-hitSmall	Pin FPS + Looter Shooter
21	Boomer Shooter + Retro10 in 100 earned $100k+, from 39 launches	10 in 1004 hits	$1,415	not computed	39	1-hitSmall	Pin Boomer Shooter + Retro
22	Comedy + Shooter10 in 100 earned $100k+, from 49 launches	10 in 1005 hits	$566	not computed	49	1-hitSmall	Pin Comedy + Shooter
23	Multiplayer + Shooter10 in 100 earned $100k+, from 148 launches	10 in 10015 hits	$486	not computed	148	1-hitAudience	Pin Multiplayer + Shooter
24	Difficult + Shooter10 in 100 earned $100k+, from 79 launches	10 in 1008 hits	$1,415	not computed	79	1-hit	Pin Difficult + Shooter
25	Psychological Horror + Shooter10 in 100 earned $100k+, from 60 launches	10 in 1006 hits	$1,514	not computed	60	none	Pin Psychological Horror + Shooter

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 229 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.