Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches 2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches 3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches 4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches 5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Without the breakout

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Drops the single biggest earner. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 Without the breakout 30+ launches Reset

The Without the breakout lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: FMV + Immersive Sim, 39 in 100. 1,757 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Co-op + Open World, $83,230 typical. 5,145 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Base Building + Colony Sim, 33 in 100. 798 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 4,337 launches. 5,145 match.

Hide one-hit markets88 out Hide small samples42 out

5,145 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, Without the breakout. 361 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, highest first.

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Niches at any price, Without the breakout, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, Without the breakoutthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	Adventure + Cozy28 in 100 earned $100k+, from 76 launches	28 in 10021 hits	$9,708	not computed	76	Audience	Pin Adventure + Cozy
2	Adventure + Online Co-Op20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 165 launches	20 in 10033 hits	$5,097	not computed	165	1-hit	Pin Adventure + Online Co-Op
3	Adventure + Wholesome20 in 100 earned $100k+, from 40 launches	20 in 1008 hits	$18,387	not computed	40	Small	Pin Adventure + Wholesome
4	Adventure + Building19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 78 launches	19 in 10015 hits	$3,641	not computed	78	Audience	Pin Adventure + Building
5	Action-Adventure + Gore19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 42 launches	19 in 1008 hits	$666	not computed	42	Small	Pin Action-Adventure + Gore
6	Choose Your Own Adventure + Cinematic19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 42 launches	19 in 1008 hits	$2,305	not computed	42	SmallAudience	Pin Choose Your Own Adventure + Cinematic
7	Adventure + Open World Survival Craft19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 48 launches	19 in 1009 hits	$16,088	not computed	48	SmallAudience	Pin Adventure + Open World Survival Craft
8	Adventure + Base Building19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 70 launches	19 in 10013 hits	$6,474	not computed	70	1-hit	Pin Adventure + Base Building
9	Adventure + Co-op19 in 100 earned $100k+, from 194 launches	19 in 10036 hits	$4,042	not computed	194	1-hit	Pin Adventure + Co-op
10	Action-Adventure + Co-op17 in 100 earned $100k+, from 86 launches	17 in 10015 hits	$2,549	not computed	86	none	Pin Action-Adventure + Co-op
11	Adventure + Multiplayer16 in 100 earned $100k+, from 222 launches	16 in 10035 hits	$1,877	not computed	222	1-hit	Pin Adventure + Multiplayer
12	Adventure + Farming Sim15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 54 launches	15 in 1008 hits	$889	not computed	54	Audience	Pin Adventure + Farming Sim
13	Action-Adventure + Metroidvania15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 199 launches	15 in 10029 hits	$2,023	not computed	199	Audience	Pin Action-Adventure + Metroidvania
14	Adventure + Management15 in 100 earned $100k+, from 55 launches	15 in 1008 hits	$4,446	not computed	55	none	Pin Adventure + Management
15	Adventure + Crafting14 in 100 earned $100k+, from 148 launches	14 in 10021 hits	$4,857	not computed	148	none	Pin Adventure + Crafting
16	Adventure + Local Co-Op13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 67 launches	13 in 1009 hits	$2,426	not computed	67	none	Pin Adventure + Local Co-Op
17	Adventure + Narrative13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 61 launches	13 in 1008 hits	$4,128	not computed	61	none	Pin Adventure + Narrative
18	Action-Adventure + Online Co-Op13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 84 launches	13 in 10011 hits	$3,680	not computed	84	none	Pin Action-Adventure + Online Co-Op
19	Choose Your Own Adventure + Immersive Sim13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 101 launches	13 in 10013 hits	$1,315	not computed	101	Audience	Pin Choose Your Own Adventure + Immersive Sim
20	Choose Your Own Adventure + Dating Sim13 in 100 earned $100k+, from 164 launches	13 in 10021 hits	$2,430	not computed	164	Audience	Pin Choose Your Own Adventure + Dating Sim
21	Adventure + Character Customization12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 123 launches	12 in 10015 hits	$1,456	not computed	123	none	Pin Adventure + Character Customization
22	Action-Adventure + Violent12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 41 launches	12 in 1005 hits	$978	not computed	41	Small	Pin Action-Adventure + Violent
23	Action-Adventure + Post-apocalyptic12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 74 launches	12 in 1009 hits	$566	not computed	74	1-hit	Pin Action-Adventure + Post-apocalyptic
24	Action-Adventure + Female Protagonist12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 214 launches	12 in 10026 hits	$1,692	not computed	214	none	Pin Action-Adventure + Female Protagonist
25	Adventure + Detective12 in 100 earned $100k+, from 252 launches	12 in 10030 hits	$1,619	not computed	252	Audience	Pin Adventure + Detective

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 361 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.