Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches 2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches 3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches 4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches 5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Last 18 months

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Only launches from the last 18 months. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 Last 18 months 30+ launches Reset

The Last 18 months lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: Cinematic + FMV, 45 in 100. 1,522 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Cinematic + FMV, $66,831 typical. 4,039 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Crafting + Exploration, 26 in 100. 408 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 2,403 launches. 4,039 match.

Hide one-hit markets+466 if off Hide small samples415 out Holds in every lens+1,317 if off

4,039 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, Last 18 months. 1,522 match the search and chips. Sorted by chance of $100k+, lowest first.

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Niches at any price, Last 18 months, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, Last 18 monthsthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	2D + Top-Down Shooternone of 195 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$162	not computed	195	none	Pin 2D + Top-Down Shooter
2	Casual + Runnernone of 147 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$81	not computed	147	none	Pin Casual + Runner
3	2D + Tabletopnone of 104 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$167	not computed	104	none	Pin 2D + Tabletop
4	Arcade + Linearnone of 101 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$121	not computed	101	none	Pin Arcade + Linear
5	Puzzle + Side Scrollernone of 97 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$121	not computed	97	none	Pin Puzzle + Side Scroller
6	Casual + Real Time Tacticsnone of 93 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$121	not computed	93	Audience	Pin Casual + Real Time Tactics
7	Action-Adventure + Hidden Objectnone of 88 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$140	not computed	88	none	Pin Action-Adventure + Hidden Object
8	Cartoony + Hidden Objectnone of 82 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$481	not computed	82	none	Pin Cartoony + Hidden Object
9	Puzzle Platformer + Strategynone of 82 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$100	not computed	82	none	Pin Puzzle Platformer + Strategy
10	2D Platformer + Linearnone of 81 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$202	not computed	81	none	Pin 2D Platformer + Linear
11	Casual + Solitairenone of 81 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$101	not computed	81	Audience	Pin Casual + Solitaire
12	Physics + Precision Platformernone of 81 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$303	not computed	81	none	Pin Physics + Precision Platformer
13	Platformer + Strategynone of 81 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$142	not computed	81	Audience	Pin Platformer + Strategy
14	Action-Adventure + Bullet Hellnone of 77 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$303	not computed	77	none	Pin Action-Adventure + Bullet Hell
15	Casual + Strategy RPGnone of 74 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$161	not computed	74	Audience	Pin Casual + Strategy RPG
16	Fantasy + Hidden Objectnone of 72 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$405	not computed	72	none	Pin Fantasy + Hidden Object
17	Arena Shooter + Casualnone of 69 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$182	not computed	69	none	Pin Arena Shooter + Casual
18	3D Fighter + Adventurenone of 64 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$202	not computed	64	none	Pin 3D Fighter + Adventure
19	3D Platformer + FPSnone of 64 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$182	not computed	64	none	Pin 3D Platformer + FPS
20	3D Platformer + Hidden Objectnone of 64 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$81	not computed	64	none	Pin 3D Platformer + Hidden Object
21	Hidden Object + Puzzle Platformernone of 61 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$133	not computed	61	none	Pin Hidden Object + Puzzle Platformer
22	2D Fighter + Adventurenone of 59 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$162	not computed	59	Audience	Pin 2D Fighter + Adventure
23	Arcade + Survivalnone of 59 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$323	not computed	59	none	Pin Arcade + Survival
24	Precision Platformer + Runnernone of 58 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$182	not computed	58	none	Pin Precision Platformer + Runner
25	Cartoony + Incrementalnone of 57 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$121	not computed	57	Audience	Pin Cartoony + Incremental

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 1,522 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.