Genres

Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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191,514
on 30 Sep 2026

Niches 1 Oct

Of 4,039 niches with 30+ launches at any price, Last 18 months, 1,630 beat the 1 in 16 base rate. Price moves the odds most: 1 in 192 under $5, 42 in 100 at $20 to $40.1,630 of 4,039 niches beat the 1 in 16 base rate.1,630 beat the base rate.

Cohort median $606

Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100
1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

The Last 18 months lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: Cinematic + FMV, 45 in 100. 1,522 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Cinematic + FMV, $66,831 typical. 4,039 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Crafting + Exploration, 26 in 100. 408 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 2,403 launches. 4,039 match.
Hide one-hit markets1,200 outHide small samples1,533 out

4,039 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, Last 18 months. Sorted by chance of $100k+, lowest first.

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Niches at any price, Last 18 months, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#NicheChance of $100k+Typical yearTop 1 in 10LaunchesMarkersPin
All games at any price, Last 18 monthsthe base rate: the row to beat 1 in 161,804 of 29,637 $606not computed 29,637
1 none of 222 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $162 not computed 222 none Pin Casual + Linear
2 none of 202 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $162 not computed 202 none Pin 2D + Precision Platformer
3 none of 195 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $162 not computed 195 none Pin 2D + Top-Down Shooter
4 none of 147 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $81 not computed 147 none Pin Casual + Runner
5 none of 141 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $81 not computed 141 none Pin 2D Platformer + Strategy
6 none of 133 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $0 not computed 133 none Pin 2D Fighter + 2D Platformer
7 none of 129 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $242 not computed 129 none Pin 3D Platformer + Simulation
8 none of 119 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $707 not computed 119 1-hit Pin Choose Your Own Adventure + Text-Based
9 none of 117 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $606 not computed 117 Audience Pin Adventure + Text-Based
10 none of 112 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $198 not computed 112 none Pin Casual + Survival
11 none of 107 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $404 not computed 107 none Pin 2D + Procedural Generation
12 none of 104 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $167 not computed 104 none Pin 2D + Tabletop
13 none of 103 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $120 not computed 103 none Pin Casual + Shoot 'Em Up
14 none of 101 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $341 not computed 101 1-hit Pin Adventure + Bullet Hell
15 none of 101 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $121 not computed 101 none Pin Arcade + Linear
16 none of 98 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $485 not computed 98 Audience Pin RPG + Text-Based
17 none of 97 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $121 not computed 97 none Pin Puzzle + Side Scroller
18 none of 94 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $121 not computed 94 1-hitAudience Pin 3D Platformer + Strategy
19 none of 93 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $121 not computed 93 Audience Pin Casual + Real Time Tactics
20 none of 90 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $545 not computed 90 1-hit Pin Action Roguelike + Fantasy
21 none of 89 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $787 not computed 89 1-hit Pin Choices Matter + Text-Based
22 none of 88 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $140 not computed 88 none Pin Action-Adventure + Hidden Object
23 none of 88 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $81 not computed 88 none Pin Casual + Old School
24 none of 87 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $202 not computed 87 Audience Pin 2D Platformer + Cartoony
25 none of 84 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $303 not computed 84 none Pin Grid-Based Movement + Puzzle
26 none of 83 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $142 not computed 83 none Pin 2.5D + 2D Platformer
27 none of 83 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $202 not computed 83 none Pin Arcade + Puzzle Platformer
28 none of 82 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $481 not computed 82 none Pin Cartoony + Hidden Object
29 none of 82 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $281 not computed 82 none Pin Colorful + Puzzle Platformer
30 none of 82 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $607 not computed 82 1-hit Pin Multiple Endings + Text-Based
31 none of 82 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $100 not computed 82 none Pin Puzzle Platformer + Strategy
32 none of 81 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $202 not computed 81 none Pin 2D Platformer + Linear
33 none of 81 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $101 not computed 81 Audience Pin Casual + Solitaire
34 none of 81 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $303 not computed 81 none Pin Physics + Precision Platformer
35 none of 81 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $142 not computed 81 Audience Pin Platformer + Strategy
36 none of 79 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $202 not computed 79 none Pin Casual + Sokoban
37 none of 79 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $809 not computed 79 none Pin Linear + Walking Simulator
38 none of 78 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $601 not computed 78 none Pin 3D + Idler
39 none of 77 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $303 not computed 77 none Pin Action-Adventure + Bullet Hell
40 none of 77 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $202 not computed 77 none Pin Family Friendly + Point & Click
41 none of 76 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $303 not computed 76 Audience Pin Logic + Pixel Graphics
42 none of 75 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $361 not computed 75 none Pin 2D + Comic Book
43 none of 74 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $161 not computed 74 Audience Pin Casual + Strategy RPG
44 none of 74 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $607 not computed 74 1-hit Pin Puzzle + Turn-Based Strategy
45 none of 73 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $425 not computed 73 Audience Pin Puzzle + Word Game
46 none of 72 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $606 not computed 72 none Pin Cute + Retro
47 none of 72 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $405 not computed 72 none Pin Fantasy + Hidden Object
48 none of 72 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $484 not computed 72 1-hit Pin Simulation + Space Sim
49 none of 71 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $405 not computed 71 Audience Pin 2.5D + Puzzle
50 none of 71 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $242 not computed 71 none Pin Arcade + Flight
51 none of 71 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $405 not computed 71 none Pin Family Friendly + Hidden Object
52 none of 71 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $140 not computed 71 1-hit Pin Fantasy + Platformer
53 none of 70 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $121 not computed 70 none Pin 2D Platformer + Relaxing
54 none of 70 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $121 not computed 70 1-hit Pin PvE + Top-Down Shooter
55 none of 69 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $202 not computed 69 none Pin 3D + Parkour
56 none of 69 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $182 not computed 69 none Pin Arena Shooter + Casual
57 none of 69 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $364 not computed 69 1-hit Pin Funny + Precision Platformer
58 none of 68 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $441 not computed 68 none Pin Cartoony + Point & Click
59 none of 67 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $606 not computed 67 none Pin Exploration + Time Management
60 none of 66 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $1,090 not computed 66 Audience Pin Funny + Psychological Horror
61 none of 65 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $242 not computed 65 1-hitAudience Pin 2D Platformer + Bullet Hell
62 none of 65 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $200 not computed 65 1-hit Pin Action-Adventure + Runner
63 none of 64 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $202 not computed 64 none Pin 3D Fighter + Adventure
64 none of 64 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $182 not computed 64 none Pin 3D Platformer + FPS
65 none of 64 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $81 not computed 64 none Pin 3D Platformer + Hidden Object
66 none of 64 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $202 not computed 64 none Pin Casual + Grid-Based Movement
67 none of 64 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $969 not computed 64 1-hit Pin Casual + LGBTQ+
68 none of 63 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $322 not computed 63 none Pin 2D + Sokoban
69 none of 63 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $243 not computed 63 1-hit Pin Cartoony + Stylized
70 none of 63 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $403 not computed 63 none Pin Platformer + Psychological Horror
71 none of 62 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $403 not computed 62 1-hit Pin 3D + Psychological
72 none of 61 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $81 not computed 61 1-hitAudience Pin 2D + Racing
73 none of 61 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $403 not computed 61 1-hit Pin 2D Platformer + Roguelite
74 none of 61 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $526 not computed 61 1-hit Pin Adventure + Time Management
75 none of 61 launches earned $100k+ 0 in 100no hits $283 not computed 61 1-hit Pin Card Game + Trading Card Game
Show 25 moreShowing 75 of 4,039 niches
green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.