Niches

Every tag pair (two tags on the same game), screened by how often its indie launches earned $100k or more in their first year. Pick your price first: price moves the odds more than the tags do.

Indie paid Steam launches 6 to 30 months old, data 1 Oct 2026. A hit is an estimated first year of $100k+. The revenue estimate is soft: about 5 to 8 in 100 launches overall.

Best niches

All prices

Pairs that hit $100k+ beyond the oddsFree until launch

Capitalism + Incrementalabout 13 times expected at its prices14 in 100

1Capitalism + Incremental14 in 10050 launches 2Casual + Desktop Companion28 in 10047 launches 3Desktop Companion + Idler25 in 10064 launches 4Desktop Companion + Relaxing30 in 10043 launches 5Comedy + Memes10 in 10049 launches

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

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Best nichesFree until launchClick to unlockTag pairs that beat the odds

The niche list

Price $10 to $20

All prices1 in 16 hit $100k+Under $51 in 200 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 26 hit $100k+$10 to $2019 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4042 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, 29,637 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Without the breakout

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

Drops the single biggest earner. Lenses are computed across all prices only so far, so a lens reads All prices.

Sample 30+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

$10 to $20 Without the breakout 30+ launches Reset

The Without the breakout lens is computed across all prices only for now, so this list reads All prices. Pick Standard to read $10 to $20.

Best odds at my priceChance of $100k+, read within one price band.Opens $10 to $20, Standard lens.Steady marketsHolds in every lens and no single game owns it.Now: FMV + Immersive Sim, 39 in 100. 1,757 match.Biggest typical yearWhat the middle launch earned, highest first.Now: Co-op + Open World, $83,230 typical. 5,145 match.Biggest upsideWhat the top tenth earned at least.Not computed for lenses yet.Proven at scale100+ launches and above the base rate.Now: Base Building + Colony Sim, 33 in 100. 798 match.Busiest marketsMost launches first: where the competition is.Now: 2D + Casual, 4,337 launches. 5,145 match.

Hide one-hit markets1,728 out Hide small samples975 out

5,145 of 5,145 niches have 30+ launches at any price, Without the breakout. Sorted by chance of $100k+, lowest first.

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Niches at any price, Without the breakout, sorted by chance of $100k+. The first row is the base rate.
Rank#	Niche	Chance of $100k+	Typical year	Top 1 in 10	Launches	Markers	Pin
	All games at any price, Without the breakoutthe base rate: the row to beat	1 in 161,804 of 29,637	$606	not computed	29,637
1	Casual + Linearnone of 451 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$202	not computed	451	none	Pin Casual + Linear
2	2D + Top-Down Shooternone of 376 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$202	not computed	376	none	Pin 2D + Top-Down Shooter
3	Casual + Precision Platformernone of 287 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$121	not computed	287	1-hit	Pin Casual + Precision Platformer
4	Casual + Runnernone of 279 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$81	not computed	279	none	Pin Casual + Runner
5	Arcade + Precision Platformernone of 234 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$202	not computed	234	none	Pin Arcade + Precision Platformer
6	Action + Hidden Objectnone of 221 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$324	not computed	221	none	Pin Action + Hidden Object
7	Choose Your Own Adventure + Text-Basednone of 221 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$849	not computed	221	1-hit	Pin Choose Your Own Adventure + Text-Based
8	3D + Runnernone of 216 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$121	not computed	216	1-hit	Pin 3D + Runner
9	2D Fighter + 2D Platformernone of 208 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$40	not computed	208	none	Pin 2D Fighter + 2D Platformer
10	Casual + Top-Down Shooternone of 207 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$81	not computed	207	none	Pin Casual + Top-Down Shooter
11	Casual + Shoot 'Em Upnone of 201 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$142	not computed	201	none	Pin Casual + Shoot 'Em Up
12	3D + Minimalistnone of 197 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$202	not computed	197	none	Pin 3D + Minimalist
13	3D + Precision Platformernone of 196 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$242	not computed	196	1-hit	Pin 3D + Precision Platformer
14	1980s + Casualnone of 192 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$40	not computed	192	none	Pin 1980s + Casual
15	2D + Tabletopnone of 190 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$201	not computed	190	none	Pin 2D + Tabletop
16	Puzzle + Side Scrollernone of 188 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$242	not computed	188	none	Pin Puzzle + Side Scroller
17	Action-Adventure + Hidden Objectnone of 185 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$202	not computed	185	none	Pin Action-Adventure + Hidden Object
18	Arcade + Linearnone of 185 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$200	not computed	185	none	Pin Arcade + Linear
19	Linear + Platformernone of 182 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$282	not computed	182	none	Pin Linear + Platformer
20	2D + Match 3none of 173 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$182	not computed	173	Audience	Pin 2D + Match 3
21	Hidden Object + Realisticnone of 172 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$646	not computed	172	1-hit	Pin Hidden Object + Realistic
22	Puzzle Platformer + Strategynone of 160 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$100	not computed	160	none	Pin Puzzle Platformer + Strategy
23	3D Platformer + Strategynone of 158 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$81	not computed	158	1-hitAudience	Pin 3D Platformer + Strategy
24	Casual + Real Time Tacticsnone of 158 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$162	not computed	158	Audience	Pin Casual + Real Time Tactics
25	Casual + Comic Booknone of 157 launches earned $100k+	0 in 100no hits	$242	not computed	157	none	Pin Casual + Comic Book

Show 25 moreShowing 25 of 5,145 niches

green beats the base ratecoral below it bar: the chance; amber tick: the base rate1-hit one game holds over half the moneySmall under 50 launches in this viewAudience reads differently for Western players

Under 30 launches a chance is written as a count ("3 of 12"), never as odds. Typical year is the middle launch's first-year earnings. Lenses, the one-hit share and the audience split are measured across all prices. A game counts in every pair its tags make.