Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Spelling + Word Game
Games tagged both Spelling and Word Game: 69 indie paid launches, 1 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Spelling + Word Game priced under $5, hiding samples under 30 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Spelling and trails Word Game; priced under $5 it is level with Spelling and is level with Word Game.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Spelling + Word Game is level with Spelling and is level with Word Game: 0.0 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0.0 in 100 for Spelling and 0.4 in 100 for Word Game.
That is about 0.0 times the 0.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 42 games tagged both Spelling and Word Game priced under $5. 0.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 0.0 for Spelling-only games and 0.5 for Word Game-only games, so the mix is level with Spelling alone and trails Word Game alone.
Both: 42 games priced under $5; 0.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $101.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 42 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Spelling + Word Game is one-hit market +1: Without the breakout moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view68 of 69 launches | Without the breakout68 of 69 launches | Last 18 months42 of 69 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 691 hits | 681 hits | 680 hits | 421 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1.4 in 1001 in 71 | 1.5 in 1001 in 67 | 0.0 in 100 | 2.4 in 1001 in 42 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $273top tenth $10,121+ | $282 | $273 | $242 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +7.1%0.1 more in 100 | -100.0%1.4 fewer in 100 | +71.4%1.0 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +3.3%$9 more | 0.0%no change | -11.4%$31 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Spelling and Word Game, 6 to 30 months old: 69 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 69 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Word Play (49.9% of the money): 68 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 42 of 69.
Spelling is one-hit market +1: Without the breakout moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| Spelling | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view103 of 108 launches | Without the breakout107 of 108 launches | Last 18 months62 of 108 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1081 hits | 1031 hits | 1070 hits | 621 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 0.9 in 1001 in 111 | 1.0 in 1001 in 100 | 0.0 in 100 | 1.6 in 1001 in 63 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $282top tenth $7,085+ | $303 | $273 | $363 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +11.1%0.1 more in 100 | -100.0%0.9 fewer in 100 | +77.8%0.7 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +7.4%$21 more | -3.2%$9 less | +28.7%$81 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Spelling, 6 to 30 months old: 108 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 108 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Word Play (36.5% of the money): 107 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 62 of 108.
Word Game is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| Word Game | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view283 of 421 launches | Without the breakout420 of 421 launches | Last 18 months253 of 421 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 42112 hits | 2839 hits | 42011 hits | 2533 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.9 in 1001 in 34 | 3.2 in 1001 in 31 | 2.6 in 1001 in 38 | 1.2 in 1001 in 83 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $505top tenth $24,593+ | $425 | $505 | $421 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +10.3%0.3 more in 100 | -10.3%0.3 fewer in 100 | -58.6%1.7 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -15.8%$80 less | 0.0%no change | -16.6%$84 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Word Game, 6 to 30 months old: 421 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 138 of 421 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Homicipher (22.5% of the money): 420 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 253 of 421.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Spelling + Word Game moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.