Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Spelling + Typing
Games tagged both Spelling and Typing: 58 indie paid launches, 1 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Spelling + Typing priced under $5, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Spelling and trails Typing; priced under $5 it has too few launches to read.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
32 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.
60 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
32 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 32 games tagged both Spelling and Typing priced under $5. 0.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 0.0 for Spelling-only games and 1.7 for Typing-only games, so the mix is level with Spelling alone and trails Typing alone.
Both: 32 games priced under $5; 0.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $242.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 32 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Spelling + Typing is one-hit market +1: Without the breakout moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view56 of 58 launches | Without the breakout57 of 58 launches | Last 18 months39 of 58 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 581 hits | 561 hits | 570 hits | 391 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1.7 in 1001 in 59 | 1.8 in 1001 in 56 | 0.0 in 100 | 2.6 in 1001 in 38 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $505top tenth $7,085+ | $505 | $485 | $505 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +5.9%0.1 more in 100 | -100.0%1.7 fewer in 100 | +52.9%0.9 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -4.0%$20 less | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Spelling and Typing, 6 to 30 months old: 58 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 58 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Word Play (54.2% of the money): 57 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 39 of 58.
Spelling is one-hit market +1: Without the breakout moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| Spelling | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view103 of 108 launches | Without the breakout107 of 108 launches | Last 18 months62 of 108 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1081 hits | 1031 hits | 1070 hits | 621 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 0.9 in 1001 in 111 | 1.0 in 1001 in 100 | 0.0 in 100 | 1.6 in 1001 in 63 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $282top tenth $7,085+ | $303 | $273 | $363 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +11.1%0.1 more in 100 | -100.0%0.9 fewer in 100 | +77.8%0.7 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +7.4%$21 more | -3.2%$9 less | +28.7%$81 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Spelling, 6 to 30 months old: 108 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 108 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Word Play (36.5% of the money): 107 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 62 of 108.
Typing is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| Typing | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view230 of 242 launches | Without the breakout241 of 242 launches | Last 18 months146 of 242 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 24217 hits | 23016 hits | 24116 hits | 1466 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 6.6 in 1001 in 15 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $363top tenth $20,152+ | $364 | $363 | $364 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -5.7%0.4 fewer in 100 | -41.4%2.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.3%$1 more | 0.0%no change | +0.3%$1 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Typing, 6 to 30 months old: 242 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 12 of 242 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Cryptmaster (13.4% of the money): 241 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 146 of 242.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Spelling + Typing moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.