Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Shooter + PvP: a typical launch earns $363 in its first year
That is the median of 80 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 14 of 175 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 9.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 27% on the year before: 174 against 137.
- Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games
- Price
- $363 median of 80 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −10.2% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 174 137 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 595 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,510 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 7.84%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.53% to 20.24% | 49 ranked of 595 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #3,827 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 1.34xhits against expected | 0.96x to 1.89x | 175 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,211 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +2%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −17% to +23% | 69 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,378 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −5%review growth against same-age games | −12% to +2% | 69 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,032 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 175
- Hit rate
- 8.0%6.1% to 11.4%
- Expected rate
- 5.5%
- Against expected
- 1.34x0.96x to 1.89x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
175 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $405
- Top tenth
- $33,526
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +27%
- Against Steam
- −7%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- WARDOGS (opens the Steam store)2026 · 84,875 reviews, 76% positiveest. $67M
- Wild Assault (opens the Steam store)2025 · 3,877 reviews, 68% positiveest. $1.1M
- Forefront (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,939 reviews, 84% positiveest. $1.1M
- Wildgate (opens the Steam store)2025 · 5,038 reviews, 77% positiveest. $1M
- Level Zero: Extraction (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,448 reviews, 50% positiveest. $991k
- DUCKSIDE (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,699 reviews, 72% positiveest. $819k
- BRAZILIAN DRUG DEALER 3: I OPENED A PORTAL TO HELL IN THE FAVELA TRYING TO REVIVE MIT AIA I NEED TO CLOSE IT (opens the Steam store)2024 · 7,911 reviews, 97% positiveest. $799k
- The Midnight Walkers (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,479 reviews, 54% positiveest. $599k
More with Shooter
pairs with Shooter- Shooter + Cyberpunk$2,57936 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Shooter$2,36739 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
- Shooter + Online Co-Op$2,19432 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months
- Co-op + Shooter$1,82139 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
- Shooter + Old School$1,55845 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
- Shooter + Gore$1,46646 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
More with PvP
pairs with PvP- RPG + PvP$1,53738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
- PvP + Funny$1,11269 launches priced, 197 releases in 12 months
- PvP + Party Game$1,11243 launches priced, 282 releases in 12 months
- Sports + PvP$92876 launches priced, 150 releases in 12 months
- PvP + Cute$90972 launches priced, 100 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + PvP$81051 launches priced, 114 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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