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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 30 Sep 2026

Niches / Sci-fi + Space

Niche

Sci-fi + Space

Games tagged both Sci-fi and Space: 328 indie paid launches, 22 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about".
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 29,637 indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, data of 1 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Sci-fi + Space priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails Sci-fi and beats Space; priced $10 to $20 it beats Sci-fi and is level with Space.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Sci-fi + Space beats Sci-fi and is level with Space: 16.1 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 15.2 in 100 for Sci-fi and 16.0 in 100 for Space.

That is about 0.9 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.

3RDThird
Tag onemood tagSci-fi
15.2in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds15.2 in 100
Typical earnings$8,012
Launches264 / 40 hits
Pair leads by0.9 in 100
1STTied winner
This pairSci-fi + Space
16.1in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds16.1 in 100
Typical earnings$9,226
Launches62 / 10 hits
Expected18.6 in 100
1STTied winner
Tag twoSpace
16.0in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds16.0 in 100
Typical earnings$8,418
Launches119 / 19 hits
Pair is level0.1 in 100
All indie launches $10 to $20: 18.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $9,226, from 4,810 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20Sci-fi is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 62 games tagged both Sci-fi and Space priced $10 to $20. 16.1 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.9 for Sci-fi-only games and 15.8 for Space-only games, so the mix beats Sci-fi alone and is level with Space alone.

Both: 62 games priced $10 to $20; 16.1 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $9,226.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 62 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Jump Spaceleads this pair20.1%
PairJump Space20.1%
Sci-fiAbiotic Factor23.3%
SpaceJump Space13.0%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Sci-fi + Space

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Jump Space earned 20.1% of the estimated first-year money of the 328 Sci-fi + Space launches.
  • Sci-fi is led by Abiotic Factor, with 23.3% of its money.
  • It also leads Space, with 13.0% of that tag's money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Sci-fi + Space is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.

Sci-fi + Space through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view320 of 328 launchesWithout the breakout327 of 328 launchesLast 18 months175 of 328 launches
Launches counted32822 hits32021 hits32721 hits1758 hits
Earned $100k+6.7 in 1001 in 156.6 in 1001 in 156.4 in 1001 in 164.6 in 1001 in 22
Typical first-year earnings$364top tenth $33,581+$364$364$364
Chance against standardthe yardstick-1.5%0.1 fewer in 100-4.5%0.3 fewer in 100-31.3%2.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick0.0%no change0.0%no change0.0%no change
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Sci-fi and Space, 6 to 30 months old: 328 launches.

Launches counted
32822 hits
Earned $100k+
6.7 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$364top tenth $33,581+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 8 of 328 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
32021 hits
Earned $100k+
6.6 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$364
Chance against standard
-1.5%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Jump Space (20.1% of the money): 327 launches left.

Launches counted
32721 hits
Earned $100k+
6.4 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings
$364
Chance against standard
-4.5%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 175 of 328.

Launches counted
1758 hits
Earned $100k+
4.6 in 1001 in 22
Typical first-year earnings
$364
Chance against standard
-31.3%2.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Sci-fi and Space, 6 to 30 months old: 328 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 8 of 328 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Jump Space (20.1% of the money): 327 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 175 of 328.

Sci-fi holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

Sci-fi through every lens, all prices
Sci-fiBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,310 of 1,348 launchesWithout the breakout1,347 of 1,348 launchesLast 18 months729 of 1,348 launches
Launches counted1,34899 hits1,31096 hits1,34798 hits72947 hits
Earned $100k+7.3 in 1001 in 147.3 in 1001 in 147.3 in 1001 in 146.4 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings$566top tenth $47,977+$546$561$485
Chance against standardthe yardstick0.0%no change0.0%no change-12.3%0.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick-3.5%$20 less-0.9%$5 less-14.3%$81 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Sci-fi, 6 to 30 months old: 1,348 launches.

Launches counted
1,34899 hits
Earned $100k+
7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$566top tenth $47,977+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 38 of 1,348 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,31096 hits
Earned $100k+
7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$546
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
-3.5%$20 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Abiotic Factor (23.3% of the money): 1,347 launches left.

Launches counted
1,34798 hits
Earned $100k+
7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$561
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
-0.9%$5 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 729 of 1,348.

Launches counted
72947 hits
Earned $100k+
6.4 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings
$485
Chance against standard
-12.3%0.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-14.3%$81 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Sci-fi, 6 to 30 months old: 1,348 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 38 of 1,348 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Abiotic Factor (23.3% of the money): 1,347 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 729 of 1,348.

Space holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

Space through every lens, all prices
SpaceBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view737 of 762 launchesWithout the breakout761 of 762 launchesLast 18 months410 of 762 launches
Launches counted76239 hits73738 hits76138 hits41018 hits
Earned $100k+5.1 in 1001 in 205.2 in 1001 in 195.0 in 1001 in 204.4 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings$324top tenth $24,288+$332$324$323
Chance against standardthe yardstick+2.0%0.1 more in 100-2.0%0.1 fewer in 100-13.7%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick+2.5%$8 more0.0%no change-0.3%$1 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Space, 6 to 30 months old: 762 launches.

Launches counted
76239 hits
Earned $100k+
5.1 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings
$324top tenth $24,288+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 25 of 762 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
73738 hits
Earned $100k+
5.2 in 1001 in 19
Typical first-year earnings
$332
Chance against standard
+2.0%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
+2.5%$8 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Jump Space (13.0% of the money): 761 launches left.

Launches counted
76138 hits
Earned $100k+
5.0 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings
$324
Chance against standard
-2.0%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 410 of 762.

Launches counted
41018 hits
Earned $100k+
4.4 in 1001 in 23
Typical first-year earnings
$323
Chance against standard
-13.7%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-0.3%$1 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Space, 6 to 30 months old: 762 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 25 of 762 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Jump Space (13.0% of the money): 761 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 410 of 762.

A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Sci-fi + Space moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.