Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Sci-fi + Shooter
Games tagged both Sci-fi and Shooter: 240 indie paid launches, 19 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Sci-fi + Shooter priced $10 to $20, without the breakout. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it beats Sci-fi and trails Shooter.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Sci-fi + Shooter beats Sci-fi and trails Shooter: 16.7 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 15.2 in 100 for Sci-fi and 19.5 in 100 for Shooter.
That is about 0.9 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 48 games tagged both Sci-fi and Shooter priced $10 to $20. 16.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 14.8 for Sci-fi-only games and 19.9 for Shooter-only games, so the mix beats Sci-fi alone and trails Shooter alone.
Both: 48 games priced $10 to $20; 16.7 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $9,410.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 48 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The without the breakout lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Sci-fi + Shooter holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view237 of 240 launches | Without the breakout239 of 240 launches | Last 18 months121 of 240 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 24019 hits | 23719 hits | 23918 hits | 1218 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.9 in 1001 in 13 | 8.0 in 1001 in 13 | 7.5 in 1001 in 13 | 6.6 in 1001 in 15 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $404top tenth $41,876+ | $404 | $385 | $404 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.3%0.1 more in 100 | -5.1%0.4 fewer in 100 | -16.5%1.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -4.7%$19 less | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Sci-fi and Shooter, 6 to 30 months old: 240 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 3 of 240 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Jump Space (26.0% of the money): 239 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 121 of 240.
Sci-fi holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Sci-fi | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,310 of 1,348 launches | Without the breakout1,347 of 1,348 launches | Last 18 months729 of 1,348 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,34899 hits | 1,31096 hits | 1,34798 hits | 72947 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 6.4 in 1001 in 16 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $566top tenth $47,977+ | $546 | $561 | $485 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -12.3%0.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -3.5%$20 less | -0.9%$5 less | -14.3%$81 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Sci-fi, 6 to 30 months old: 1,348 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 38 of 1,348 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Abiotic Factor (23.3% of the money): 1,347 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 729 of 1,348.
Shooter holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Shooter | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,534 of 2,618 launches | Without the breakout2,617 of 2,618 launches | Last 18 months1,346 of 2,618 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,618155 hits | 2,534149 hits | 2,617154 hits | 1,34675 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 5.6 in 1001 in 18 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $363top tenth $20,964+ | $403 | $363 | $324 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -5.1%0.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +11.0%$40 more | 0.0%no change | -10.7%$39 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Shooter, 6 to 30 months old: 2,618 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 84 of 2,618 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (19.2% of the money): 2,617 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,346 of 2,618.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Sci-fi + Shooter moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.