Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Sandbox + Colorful: a typical launch earns $727 in its first year
That is the median of 57 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 10 of 124 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 6.8 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 84% on the year before: 127 against 69.
- Price
- $727 median of 57 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −70.1% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 127 69 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 316 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 701 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.23%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.16% to 0.32% | 35 ranked of 316 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #965 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.32xhits against expected | 0.92x to 1.95x | 124 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,267 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| −23%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −41% to +3% | 26 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #2,065 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| −1%review growth against same-age games | −12% to +8% | 26 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #2,051 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 124
- Hit rate
- 8.1%4.3% to 13.2%
- Expected rate
- 5.5%
- Against expected
- 1.32x0.92x to 1.95x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
124 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $728
- Top tenth
- $52,264
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +84%
- Against Steam
- +29%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Hozy (opens the Steam store)2026 · 4,256 reviews, 80% positiveest. $1.2M
- Horsey Game (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,961 reviews, 97% positiveest. $599k
- Guilty as Sock! (opens the Steam store)2025 · 4,865 reviews, 89% positiveest. $542k
- Tchia (opens the Steam store)2024 · 575 reviews, 88% positiveest. $407k
- Small Spaces (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,504 reviews, 88% positiveest. $396k
- 9-Bit Armies: A Bit Too Far (opens the Steam store)2024 · 945 reviews, 80% positiveest. $383k
- Furnish Master (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,109 reviews, 81% positiveest. $337k
- Turbo Dismount® 2 (opens the Steam store)2025 · 756 reviews, 95% positiveest. $306k
More with Sandbox
pairs with Sandbox- Sandbox + Multiplayer$32,53338 launches priced, 71 releases in 12 months
- Sandbox + Resource Management$18,39749 launches priced, 96 releases in 12 months
- Sandbox + Economy$15,26966 launches priced, 136 releases in 12 months
- Sandbox + Management$11,910116 launches priced, 204 releases in 12 months
- Sandbox + City Builder$11,53977 launches priced, 92 releases in 12 months
- Sandbox + Colony Sim$10,01834 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
More with Colorful
pairs with Colorful- Colorful + Cozy$3,63859 launches priced, 123 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Colorful$3,39962 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Colorful$2,68975 launches priced, 112 releases in 12 months
- Colorful + Emotional$2,00335 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- Colorful + Life Sim$1,85851 launches priced, 69 releases in 12 months
- Magic + Colorful$1,66832 launches priced, 38 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.