Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Runner + Side Scroller
Runner + Side Scroller
Games tagged both Runner and Side Scroller: 86 indie paid launches, 2 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Runner + Side Scroller priced under $5, last 18 months. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Runner and trails Side Scroller; priced under $5 it beats both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Runner + Side Scroller beats both its tags: 1.4 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0.2 in 100 for Runner and 0.3 in 100 for Side Scroller.
That is 1 in 71, about 2.8 times the 0.5 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 69 games tagged both Runner and Side Scroller priced under $5. 1.4 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 0.0 for Runner-only games and 0.2 for Side Scroller-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 69 games priced under $5; 1.4 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 71), typical first-year earnings $101.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 69 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The last 18 months lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Runner + Side Scroller is changed recently +1: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view82 of 86 launches | Without the breakout85 of 86 launches | Last 18 months49 of 86 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 862 hits | 822 hits | 851 hits | 492 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.3 in 1001 in 43 | 2.4 in 1001 in 42 | 1.2 in 1001 in 83 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $120top tenth $2,526+ | $121 | $120 | $120 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +4.3%0.1 more in 100 | -47.8%1.1 fewer in 100 | +78.3%1.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.8%$1 more | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Runner and Side Scroller, 6 to 30 months old: 86 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 86 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Nitro Express (57.1% of the money): 85 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 49 of 86.
Runner is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| Runner | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view553 of 570 launches | Without the breakout569 of 570 launches | Last 18 months296 of 570 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5707 hits | 5537 hits | 5696 hits | 2965 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 1.2 in 1001 in 83 | 1.3 in 1001 in 77 | 1.1 in 1001 in 91 | 1.7 in 1001 in 59 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $121top tenth $2,425+ | $121 | $121 | $121 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +8.3%0.1 more in 100 | -8.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | +41.7%0.5 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Runner, 6 to 30 months old: 570 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 17 of 570 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Haste (69.9% of the money): 569 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 296 of 570.
Side Scroller holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Side Scroller | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,105 of 1,126 launches | Without the breakout1,125 of 1,126 launches | Last 18 months592 of 1,126 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,12638 hits | 1,10538 hits | 1,12537 hits | 59222 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 | 3.3 in 1001 in 30 | 3.7 in 1001 in 27 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $401top tenth $18,826+ | $385 | $385 | $303 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -2.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | +8.8%0.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -4.0%$16 less | -4.0%$16 less | -24.4%$98 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Side Scroller, 6 to 30 months old: 1,126 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 21 of 1,126 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Absolum (17.8% of the money): 1,125 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 592 of 1,126.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Runner + Side Scroller moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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