Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / RPG / Top-Down Shooter
RPG + Top-Down Shooter: a typical launch earns $363 in its first year
That is the median of 49 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 2 of 108 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 4.0 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 30% on the year before: 74 against 57.
- Price
- $363 median of 49 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −10.2% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 74 57 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 227 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 546 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 0.08%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.02% to 0.14% | 12 ranked of 228 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #5,943 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 0.71xhits against expected | 0.52x to 1.26x | 108 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #4,663 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 108
- Hit rate
- 1.9%0.0% to 4.2%
- Expected rate
- 3.7%
- Against expected
- 0.71x0.52x to 1.26x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
108 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $222
- Top tenth
- $8,002
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +30%
Parent tags
- RPGGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
- Top-Down ShooterGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Dinotica (opens the Steam store)2025 · 746 reviews, 86% positiveest. $272k
- Vital Shell (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,774 reviews, 96% positiveest. $215k
- Radiant Silvergun (opens the Steam store)2023 · 214 reviews, 93% positiveest. $87k
- Hand of Fate: Hordes (opens the Steam store)2026 · 322 reviews, 78% positiveest. $78k
- Pinball Storm: Lokanta (opens the Steam store)2025 · 462 reviews, 70% positiveest. $56k
- Schism (opens the Steam store)2023 · 141 reviews, 96% positiveest. $34k
- 33 Days till Extraction (opens the Steam store)2026 · 77 reviews, 79% positiveest. $28k
- DUNGEON RAZE (opens the Steam store)2025 · 461 reviews, 85% positiveest. $28k
More with RPG
pairs with RPG- RPG + FMV$25,57938 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Base Building$17,28632 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Farming Sim$8,78948 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Difficult$8,09240 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Resource Management$8,05030 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- RPG + Dating Sim$6,63993 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months
More with Top-Down Shooter
pairs with Top-Down Shooter- Roguelite + Top-Down Shooter$1,010116 launches priced, 189 releases in 12 months
- Top-Down Shooter + Twin Stick Shooter$90973 launches priced, 113 releases in 12 months
- Top-Down Shooter + Bullet Hell$809179 launches priced, 260 releases in 12 months
- Action RPG + Top-Down Shooter$72833 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
- Top-Down Shooter + Action Roguelike$687150 launches priced, 242 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Top-Down Shooter$443111 launches priced, 155 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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