Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

RPG + Perma Death: a typical launch earns $1,518 in its first year

That is the median of 37 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 4 of 70 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 4.2 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 27% on the year before: 51 against 40.

Price: $1,518
Price vs a year earlier: +97.7%
Releases, 12 months: 51
Upcoming games: 221
Games on the store: 484

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

RPG + Perma Death on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	0.41%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.04% to 0.82%	12 ranked of 222 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#4,604 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	0.97xhits against expected	0.66x to 1.59x	70 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#2,990 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. One game dominates the figure China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese	−4%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−33% to +35%	19 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#1,558 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. One game dominates the figure China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese Listed after unflagged rows on this board	−12%review growth against same-age games	−25% to +3%	19 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#2,434 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 4
Expected: 4.2

Launches: 70
Hit rate: 5.7%1.6% to 14.2%
Expected rate: 6.1%
Against expected: 0.97x0.66x to 1.59x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

70 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $10
Median: $929
Top tenth: $49,416

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 51
Prior 12 months: 40

Change: +27%
Against Steam: −8%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

RPGGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Perma DeathNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with RPG

pairs with RPG

RPG + FMV$25,57938 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
RPG + Base Building$17,28632 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
RPG + Farming Sim$8,78948 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
RPG + Difficult$8,09240 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
RPG + Resource Management$8,05030 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
RPG + Dating Sim$6,63993 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months

Every pair with RPG

More with Perma Death

pairs with Perma Death

Roguelike + Perma Death$1,97186 launches priced, 115 releases in 12 months
Perma Death + Difficult$1,86936 launches priced, 33 releases in 12 months
Strategy + Perma Death$1,81943 launches priced, 69 releases in 12 months
Perma Death + Procedural Generation$1,51843 launches priced, 47 releases in 12 months
Perma Death + Bullet Hell$70741 launches priced, 36 releases in 12 months
Perma Death + Action Roguelike$70767 launches priced, 102 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Perma Death

Verdicts

in development

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