Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

RPG + Old School: a typical launch earns $627 in its first year

That is the median of 48 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 4 of 98 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 8.5 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 33% on the year before: 68 against 51.

Price: $627
Price vs a year earlier: −11.4%
Releases, 12 months: 68
Upcoming games: 128
Games on the store: 475

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

RPG + Old School on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.12%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.07% to 0.20%	17 ranked of 128 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#1,537 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	0.61xhits against expected	0.42x to 1.01x	98 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#5,204 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period.
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.	Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window.

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 4
Expected: 8.5

Launches: 98
Hit rate: 4.1%2.2% to 12.1%
Expected rate: 8.6%
Against expected: 0.61x0.42x to 1.01x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

98 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $708
Top tenth: $26,658

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 68
Prior 12 months: 51

Change: +33%

Parent tags

RPGGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Old SchoolNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with RPG

pairs with RPG

RPG + FMV$25,57938 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
RPG + Base Building$17,28632 launches priced, 49 releases in 12 months
RPG + Farming Sim$8,78948 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
RPG + Difficult$8,09240 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
RPG + Resource Management$8,05030 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
RPG + Dating Sim$6,63993 launches priced, 145 releases in 12 months

Every pair with RPG

More with Old School

pairs with Old School

First-Person + Old School$2,12537 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
Old School + 1990's$1,80034 launches priced, 68 releases in 12 months
Shooter + Old School$1,55845 launches priced, 53 releases in 12 months
Old School + 3D$83942 launches priced, 45 releases in 12 months
Adventure + Old School$60767 launches priced, 82 releases in 12 months
Old School + Retro$38494 launches priced, 139 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Old School

Verdicts

in development

GMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.