Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Roguelike + Colorful: a typical launch earns $860 in its first year
That is the median of 60 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 8 of 130 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 7.9 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 92% on the year before: 140 against 73.
- China market: over 35% of reviews are Chinese
- Price
- $860 median of 60 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +75.9% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 140 73 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 303 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 646 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.04%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.02% to 0.05% | 9 ranked of 303 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #2,927 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 1.01xhits against expected | 0.69x to 1.54x | 130 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #6,062 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 130
- Hit rate
- 6.2%3.2% to 10.3%
- Expected rate
- 6.1%
- Against expected
- 1.01x0.69x to 1.54x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
130 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $657
- Top tenth
- $35,420
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +92%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Realm of Ink (opens the Steam store)2024 · 5,080 reviews, 90% positiveest. $1.6M
- DICEOMANCER (opens the Steam store)2024 · 4,756 reviews, 96% positiveest. $1.1M
- RACCOIN: Coin Pusher Roguelike (opens the Steam store)2026 · 4,266 reviews, 82% positiveest. $950k
- How Many Dudes? (opens the Steam store)2026 · 3,060 reviews, 89% positiveest. $852k
- Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island (opens the Steam store)2024 · 495 reviews, 84% positiveest. $401k
- Vivid World (opens the Steam store)2025 · 594 reviews, 88% positiveest. $240k
- Epic Auto Towers (opens the Steam store)2024 · 769 reviews, 70% positiveest. $233k
- Genome Guardian (opens the Steam store)2024 · 711 reviews, 92% positiveest. $173k
More with Roguelike
pairs with Roguelike- Roguelike + Bullet Heaven$17,70935 launches priced, 135 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Roguelike Deckbuilder$8,25299 launches priced, 221 releases in 12 months
- Turn-Based + Roguelike$4,45040 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Anime$4,38831 launches priced, 48 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Difficult$3,64173 launches priced, 93 releases in 12 months
- Roguelike + Auto Battler$3,39375 launches priced, 156 releases in 12 months
More with Colorful
pairs with Colorful- Colorful + Cozy$3,63859 launches priced, 123 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Colorful$3,39962 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
- Visual Novel + Colorful$2,68975 launches priced, 112 releases in 12 months
- Colorful + Emotional$2,00335 launches priced, 44 releases in 12 months
- Colorful + Life Sim$1,85851 launches priced, 69 releases in 12 months
- Magic + Colorful$1,66832 launches priced, 38 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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