Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Rhythm + 3D: a typical launch earns $168 in its first year
That is the median of 34 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 1 of 71 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 3.5 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 52% on the year before: 70 against 46.
- One game dominates the figure
- Price
- $168 median of 34 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −12.2% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 70 46 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 152 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 414 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.13%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.07% to 0.25% | 14 ranked of 152 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #1,432 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.61xhits against expected | 0.49x to 1.12x | 71 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #5,193 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 20 or more releases in each 12-month period. | |||
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | Below this board's minimum sample, so not ranked. Needs 15 or more tracked games and 1,000 reviews in each window. | |||
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 71
- Hit rate
- 1.4%0.0% to 3.4%
- Expected rate
- 5.0%
- Against expected
- 0.61x0.49x to 1.12x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
71 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $182
- Top tenth
- $6,233
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +52%
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Headbangers: Rhythm Royale (opens the Steam store)2023 · 984 reviews, 69% positiveest. $398k
- Dancing Line (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,648 reviews, 92% positiveest. $333k
- Rhythia (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,143 reviews, 84% positiveest. $173k
- Rock Star Life Simulator (opens the Steam store)2024 · 500 reviews, 85% positiveest. $126k
- MUSYNX:RETURN (opens the Steam store)2026 · 290 reviews, 74% positiveest. $117k
- CYBERMATRIX (opens the Steam store)2024 · 128 reviews, 89% positiveest. $31k
- Fingerdance (opens the Steam store)2025 · 374 reviews, 97% positiveest. $23k
- Ultimate Drummer (opens the Steam store)2026 · 175 reviews, 98% positiveest. $21k
More with Rhythm
pairs with Rhythm- Music + Rhythm$1,31439 launches priced, 79 releases in 12 months
- Rhythm + Cute$1,17234 launches priced, 59 releases in 12 months
- Rhythm + 2D$44460 launches priced, 117 releases in 12 months
- Rhythm + Arcade$41450 launches priced, 94 releases in 12 months
- Action + Rhythm$40469 launches priced, 149 releases in 12 months
- Casual + Rhythm$20289 launches priced, 182 releases in 12 months
More with 3D
pairs with 3D- 3D + Dark Humor$3,90132 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Cozy$3,23738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Economy$3,15761 launches priced, 109 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Management$2,196130 launches priced, 192 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + 3D$2,162144 launches priced, 256 releases in 12 months
- 3D + Resource Management$2,02434 launches priced, 66 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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