Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026

Rhythm + 2D: a typical launch earns $444 in its first year

That is the median of 60 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 8 of 129 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 5.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 41% on the year before: 117 against 83.

Price: $444
Price vs a year earlier: +46.7%
Releases, 12 months: 117
Upcoming games: 207
Games on the store: 683

Boards

as of 30 Sep 2026

Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.

Rhythm + 2D on each board
Board	Value	Interval	Sample	Standing
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.	0.05%share of upcoming wishlist heat	0.04% to 0.05%	13 ranked of 207 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026	#2,665 of 7,193pairs on this board
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.	1.37xhits against expected	0.94x to 2.08x	129 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old)	#1,093 of 6,324pairs on this board
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. One game dominates the figure	−4%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam	−23% to +18%	20 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months	#1,568 of 2,361pairs on this board
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. One game dominates the figure Listed after unflagged rows on this board	−2%review growth against same-age games	−10% to +6%	20 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025	#2,108 of 2,461pairs on this board

Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.

Launch success

launches 6 to 30 months old

Matured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.

Hits: 8
Expected: 5.1

Launches: 129
Hit rate: 6.2%3.2% to 10.4%
Expected rate: 3.9%
Against expected: 1.37x0.94x to 2.08x

Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.

Revenue spread

129 launches

Estimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.

Bottom tenth: $0
Median: $322
Top tenth: $23,794

Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.

Supply

raw release counts

Games released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.

Last 12 months: 117
Prior 12 months: 83

Change: +41%
Against Steam: +2%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases

Parent tags

RhythmGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
2DNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.

Comparable games

8 indie titles

The biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.

More with Rhythm

pairs with Rhythm

Music + Rhythm$1,31439 launches priced, 79 releases in 12 months
Rhythm + Cute$1,17234 launches priced, 59 releases in 12 months
Rhythm + Arcade$41450 launches priced, 94 releases in 12 months
Action + Rhythm$40469 launches priced, 149 releases in 12 months
Casual + Rhythm$20289 launches priced, 182 releases in 12 months
Rhythm + 3D$16834 launches priced, 70 releases in 12 months

Every pair with Rhythm

More with 2D

pairs with 2D

2D + Roguelike Deckbuilder$6,77234 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
2D + Romance$3,28176 launches priced, 110 releases in 12 months
War + 2D$3,16035 launches priced, 55 releases in 12 months
2D + Dating Sim$2,55991 launches priced, 116 releases in 12 months
2D + LGBTQ+$2,46550 launches priced, 85 releases in 12 months
2D + Historical$2,32474 launches priced, 130 releases in 12 months

Every pair with 2D

Verdicts

in development

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