Genres

Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

Settings
Text size
Game Market DataBuild what sells
Live games
192,217
on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / Retro + Roguelike

Niche

Retro + Roguelike

Games tagged both Retro and Roguelike: 62 indie paid launches, 2 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Retro + Roguelike priced under $5.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?Under $5

Retro + Roguelike is too small to compare with Retro and is too small to compare with Roguelike: 1 of its 38 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 1 of 736 launches for Retro and 0.5 in 100 for Roguelike.

Small sample: 38 launches, 1 hits.

TIEA tie
Tag onemood tagRetro
1 of 736launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds1 of 736 launches
Typical earnings$179
Launches736 / 1 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
TIEA tie
This pairRetro + Roguelike
1 of 38launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds1 of 38 launches
$1k+26 in 100
$10k+2 of 38 launches
Launches38 / 1 hits
Expected0.4 in 100
TIEA tie
Tag twoRoguelike
0.5in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds1 in 203
Typical earnings$171
Launches1,016 / 5 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
All indie launches under $5: 0.4 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 238), typical $158, from 13,785 launches.each block is 0.5 in 100 all indie at under $5Retro is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices62 in pairUnder $538 in pair$5 to $1014 in pair$10 to $209: too few$20 to $401: too few
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 38 games tagged both Retro and Roguelike priced under $5. 1 of 38 of them earned $100k+, against 0 of 698 for Retro-only games and 4 of 978 for Roguelike-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Retro alone and is too small to compare with Roguelike alone.

Both: 38 games priced under $5; 1 of 38 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 26 in 100 · $10k+ 2 of 38 launches · $100k+ 1 of 38 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 38 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Rift Wizard 2leads this pair34.3%
PairRift Wizard 234.3%
RetroMouthwashing21.8%
RoguelikeHades II16.6%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 3, 2 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Retro + Roguelike

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Rift Wizard 2 earned 34.3% of the estimated first-year money of the 62 Retro + Roguelike launches.
  • Retro is led by Mouthwashing, with 21.8% of its money.
  • Roguelike is led by Hades II, with 16.6% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Retro + Roguelike holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Retro + Roguelike through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view55 of 62 launchesWithout the breakout61 of 62 launchesLast 18 months23 of 62 launches
Launches counted622 hits552 hits611 hits231 hits
Earned $100k+2 of 62too few for a rate2 of 55too few for a rate1 of 61too few for a rate1 of 23too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+11 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 48 in 100under 100 launchesunder 100 launchesunder 100 launches
Chance against standardthe base+12.7%0.4 more in 100; too few to tell-49.2%1.6 fewer in 100+34.8%1.1 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe baseunder 100 launchesunder 100 launchesunder 100 launches
Does it hold?The base viewToo few to tellHoldsToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Retro and Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 62 launches.

Launches counted
622 hits
Earned $100k+
2 of 62too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
11 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 48 in 100
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 62 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
552 hits
Earned $100k+
2 of 55too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
+12.7%0.4 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Rift Wizard 2 (34.3% of the money): 61 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
611 hits
Earned $100k+
1 of 61too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
-49.2%1.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 23 of 62.

Launches counted
231 hits
Earned $100k+
1 of 23too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
+34.8%1.1 more in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Retro and Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 62 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 62 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Rift Wizard 2 (34.3% of the money): 61 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 23 of 62.

Retro holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Retro through every lens, all prices
RetroBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,267 of 1,300 launchesWithout the breakout1,299 of 1,300 launchesLast 18 months361 of 1,300 launches
Launches counted1,30060 hits1,26759 hits1,29959 hits36115 hits
Earned $100k+4.6 in 1001 in 224.7 in 1001 in 214.5 in 1001 in 224.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings$569top tenth $24,754+$596$567$505
Chance against standardthe base+0.9%no change-1.6%0.1 fewer in 100-10.0%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe base+4.7%$27 more-0.4%$2 less-11.2%$64 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Retro, 12 to 36 months old: 1,300 launches.

Launches counted
1,30060 hits
Earned $100k+
4.6 in 1001 in 22
Typical first-year earnings
$569top tenth $24,754+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 33 of 1,300 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,26759 hits
Earned $100k+
4.7 in 1001 in 21
Typical first-year earnings
$596
Chance against standard
+0.9%no change
Typical against standard
+4.7%$27 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Mouthwashing (21.8% of the money): 1,299 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,29959 hits
Earned $100k+
4.5 in 1001 in 22
Typical first-year earnings
$567
Chance against standard
-1.6%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-0.4%$2 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 361 of 1,300.

Launches counted
36115 hits
Earned $100k+
4.2 in 1001 in 24
Typical first-year earnings
$505
Chance against standard
-10.0%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-11.2%$64 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Retro, 12 to 36 months old: 1,300 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 33 of 1,300 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Mouthwashing (21.8% of the money): 1,299 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 361 of 1,300.

Roguelike holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Roguelike through every lens, all prices
RoguelikeBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,939 of 2,082 launchesWithout the breakout2,081 of 2,082 launchesLast 18 months640 of 2,082 launches
Launches counted2,082179 hits1,939165 hits2,081178 hits64056 hits
Earned $100k+8.6 in 1001 in 128.5 in 1001 in 128.6 in 1001 in 128.8 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings$1,034top tenth $75,603+$1,112$1,032$1,053
Chance against standardthe base-1.0%0.1 fewer in 100-0.5%no change+1.8%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+7.5%$78 more-0.2%$2 less+1.8%$19 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 2,082 launches.

Launches counted
2,082179 hits
Earned $100k+
8.6 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$1,034top tenth $75,603+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 143 of 2,082 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,939165 hits
Earned $100k+
8.5 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$1,112
Chance against standard
-1.0%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+7.5%$78 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (16.6% of the money): 2,081 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
2,081178 hits
Earned $100k+
8.6 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$1,032
Chance against standard
-0.5%no change
Typical against standard
-0.2%$2 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 640 of 2,082.

Launches counted
64056 hits
Earned $100k+
8.8 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$1,053
Chance against standard
+1.8%0.2 more in 100
Typical against standard
+1.8%$19 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Roguelike, 12 to 36 months old: 2,082 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 143 of 2,082 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Hades II (16.6% of the money): 2,081 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 640 of 2,082.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Retro + Roguelike moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.