Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Realistic / Walking Simulator
Realistic + Walking Simulator: a typical launch earns $2,122 in its first year
That is the median of 146 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 8 of 329 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 7.5 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 8% on the year before: 187 against 173.
- Price
- $2,122 median of 146 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- +14.2% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 187 173 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 262 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 875 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.07%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.04% to 0.11% | 17 ranked of 262 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #2,180 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.05xhits against expected | 0.72x to 1.62x | 329 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #2,513 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +21%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | 0% to +47% | 53 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #726 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −5%review growth against same-age games | −11% to +4% | 53 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,014 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 329
- Hit rate
- 2.4%0.3% to 4.9%
- Expected rate
- 2.3%
- Against expected
- 1.05x0.72x to 1.62x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
329 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $101
- Median
- $1,454
- Top tenth
- $19,645
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +8%
- Against Steam
- −21%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- RealisticNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- Walking SimulatorGenre pageRanked on every board, with its best pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- POOLS (opens the Steam store)2024 · 6,480 reviews, 95% positiveest. $1.2M
- DON'T SCREAM (opens the Steam store)2023 · 4,509 reviews, 65% positiveest. $730k
- Lushfoil Photography Sim (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,728 reviews, 91% positiveest. $525k
- Amenti (opens the Steam store)2025 · 2,195 reviews, 80% positiveest. $311k
- Hospital 666 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,204 reviews, 71% positiveest. $195k
- BULT: Hunting simulator (opens the Steam store)2026 · 878 reviews, 87% positiveest. $178k
- Who's at the door? (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,493 reviews, 89% positiveest. $151k
- Unknown Tapes (opens the Steam store)2024 · 464 reviews, 81% positiveest. $122k
More with Realistic
pairs with Realistic- Multiplayer + Realistic$17,04044 launches priced, 62 releases in 12 months
- Realistic + Management$13,70546 launches priced, 74 releases in 12 months
- Realistic + Economy$10,95531 launches priced, 37 releases in 12 months
- Realistic + Life Sim$6,57659 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
- Sandbox + Realistic$5,46362 launches priced, 72 releases in 12 months
- Thriller + Realistic$3,21454 launches priced, 56 releases in 12 months
More with Walking Simulator
pairs with Walking Simulator- Thriller + Walking Simulator$4,18364 launches priced, 94 releases in 12 months
- Cinematic + Walking Simulator$3,57532 launches priced, 57 releases in 12 months
- Walking Simulator + Supernatural$3,23435 launches priced, 51 releases in 12 months
- Story Rich + Walking Simulator$2,627119 launches priced, 186 releases in 12 months
- Mystery + Walking Simulator$2,02077 launches priced, 151 releases in 12 months
- Relaxing + Walking Simulator$1,89546 launches priced, 69 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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