Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
PvP + Sports
Games tagged both PvP and Sports: 156 indie paid launches, 13 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing PvP + Sports priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it trails PvP and is level with Sports.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
PvP + Sports trails PvP and is level with Sports: 12.1 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 15.5 in 100 for PvP and 12.1 in 100 for Sports.
That is about 0.7 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 33 games tagged both PvP and Sports priced $10 to $20. 12.1 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 16.3 for PvP-only games and 12.1 for Sports-only games, so the mix trails PvP alone and is level with Sports alone.
Both: 33 games priced $10 to $20; 12.1 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $4,209.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 33 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
PvP + Sports is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view156 of 156 launches | Without the breakout155 of 156 launches | Last 18 months101 of 156 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 15613 hits | 15613 hits | 15512 hits | 1015 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.3 in 1001 in 12 | 8.3 in 1001 in 12 | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $808top tenth $69,329+ | $808 | $808 | $405 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -7.2%0.6 fewer in 100 | -39.8%3.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -49.9%$403 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both PvP and Sports, 6 to 30 months old: 156 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 0 of 156 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (66.8% of the money): 155 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 101 of 156.
PvP holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| PvP | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,141 of 1,166 launches | Without the breakout1,165 of 1,166 launches | Last 18 months648 of 1,166 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,16674 hits | 1,14172 hits | 1,16573 hits | 64837 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $541top tenth $33,177+ | $526 | $526 | $604 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -9.5%0.6 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -2.8%$15 less | -2.8%$15 less | +11.6%$63 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged PvP, 6 to 30 months old: 1,166 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 25 of 1,166 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (29.3% of the money): 1,165 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 648 of 1,166.
Sports holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Sports | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view909 of 929 launches | Without the breakout928 of 929 launches | Last 18 months541 of 929 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 92954 hits | 90954 hits | 92853 hits | 54132 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $810top tenth $51,128+ | $911 | $810 | $668 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.7%0.1 more in 100 | -1.7%0.1 fewer in 100 | +1.7%0.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +12.5%$101 more | 0.0%no change | -17.5%$142 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Sports, 6 to 30 months old: 929 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 20 of 929 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (27.4% of the money): 928 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 541 of 929.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when PvP + Sports moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.