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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / PvP + RPG

Niche

PvP + RPG

Games tagged both PvP and RPG: 63 indie paid launches, 6 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing PvP + RPG priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with PvP and is about level with RPG; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with PvP and is too small to compare with RPG.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

PvP + RPG is too small to compare with PvP and is too small to compare with RPG: 0 of its 12 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 16.4 in 100 for PvP and 17.6 in 100 for RPG.

Small sample: 12 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie
Tag onemood tagPvP
16.4in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds16.4 in 100
Typical earnings$5,621
Launches177 / 29 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
TIEA tie
This pairPvP + RPG
0 of 12launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds0 of 12 launches
Typical earnings$23,073
Launches12 / 0 hits
Expected17.6 in 100
TIEA tie
Tag twoRPG
17.6in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds17.6 in 100
Typical earnings$8,454
Launches786 / 138 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20PvP is a mood tag: GMD never ranks it alone, but every game carrying it is counted.

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 12 games tagged both PvP and RPG priced $10 to $20. 0 of 12 of them earned $100k+, against 17.6 in 100 for PvP-only games and 17.8 in 100 for RPG-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with PvP alone and is too small to compare with RPG alone.

Both: 12 games priced $10 to $20; 0 of 12 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $23,073.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 12 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

The Quinfallleads this pair36.2%
PairThe Quinfall36.2%
PvPREMATCH26.6%
RPGPath of Exile 218.0%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 2 of 3, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads PvP + RPG

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • The Quinfall earned 36.2% of the estimated first-year money of the 63 PvP + RPG launches.
  • PvP is led by REMATCH, with 26.6% of its money.
  • RPG is led by Path of Exile 2, with 18.0% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

PvP + RPG holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout; too few to tell in Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

PvP + RPG through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view59 of 63 launchesWithout the breakout62 of 63 launchesLast 18 months14 of 63 launches
Launches counted636 hits596 hits625 hits141 hits
Earned $100k+9.5 in 1001 in 1110.2 in 1008.1 in 1001 in 121 of 14too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings$1,277top tenth $45,238+$1,351$1,277$2,582
Chance against standardthe base+6.8%0.6 more in 100-15.3%1.5 fewer in 100-25.0%2.4 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe base+5.8%$74 more; too few to tell0.0%no change+102.2%$1,305 more; too few to tell
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both PvP and RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 63 launches.

Launches counted
636 hits
Earned $100k+
9.5 in 1001 in 11
Typical first-year earnings
$1,277top tenth $45,238+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 63 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
596 hits
Earned $100k+
10.2 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$1,351
Chance against standard
+6.8%0.6 more in 100
Typical against standard
+5.8%$74 more; too few to tell
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, The Quinfall (36.2% of the money): 62 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
625 hits
Earned $100k+
8.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$1,277
Chance against standard
-15.3%1.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 14 of 63.

Launches counted
141 hits
Earned $100k+
1 of 14too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$2,582
Chance against standard
-25.0%2.4 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
+102.2%$1,305 more; too few to tell
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both PvP and RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 63 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 63 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, The Quinfall (36.2% of the money): 62 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 14 of 63.

PvP holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

PvP through every lens, all prices
PvPBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,019 of 1,044 launchesWithout the breakout1,043 of 1,044 launchesLast 18 months291 of 1,044 launches
Launches counted1,04471 hits1,01969 hits1,04370 hits29122 hits
Earned $100k+6.8 in 1001 in 156.8 in 1001 in 156.7 in 1001 in 157.6 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings$470top tenth $28,978+$470$460$575
Chance against standardthe base-0.4%no change-1.3%0.1 fewer in 100+11.2%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base0.0%no change-2.1%$10 less+22.3%$105 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged PvP, 12 to 36 months old: 1,044 launches.

Launches counted
1,04471 hits
Earned $100k+
6.8 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$470top tenth $28,978+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 25 of 1,044 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,01969 hits
Earned $100k+
6.8 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$470
Chance against standard
-0.4%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (26.6% of the money): 1,043 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,04370 hits
Earned $100k+
6.7 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$460
Chance against standard
-1.3%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-2.1%$10 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 291 of 1,044.

Launches counted
29122 hits
Earned $100k+
7.6 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$575
Chance against standard
+11.2%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standard
+22.3%$105 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged PvP, 12 to 36 months old: 1,044 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 25 of 1,044 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (26.6% of the money): 1,043 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 291 of 1,044.

RPG is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.

RPG through every lens, all prices
RPGBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view3,125 of 3,715 launchesWithout the breakout3,714 of 3,715 launchesLast 18 months1,018 of 3,715 launches
Launches counted3,715270 hits3,125225 hits3,714269 hits1,01882 hits
Earned $100k+7.3 in 1001 in 147.2 in 1001 in 147.2 in 1001 in 148.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings$675top tenth $51,629+$729$675$859
Chance against standardthe base-0.9%0.1 fewer in 100-0.3%no change+10.8%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+8.0%$54 more0.0%no change+27.3%$184 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 3,715 launches.

Launches counted
3,715270 hits
Earned $100k+
7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$675top tenth $51,629+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 590 of 3,715 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
3,125225 hits
Earned $100k+
7.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$729
Chance against standard
-0.9%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+8.0%$54 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (18.0% of the money): 3,714 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
3,714269 hits
Earned $100k+
7.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$675
Chance against standard
-0.3%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,018 of 3,715.

Launches counted
1,01882 hits
Earned $100k+
8.1 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$859
Chance against standard
+10.8%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standard
+27.3%$184 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 12 to 36 months old: 3,715 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 590 of 3,715 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (18.0% of the money): 3,714 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,018 of 3,715.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when PvP + RPG moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.