Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
PvP + PvE: a typical launch earns $607 in its first year
That is the median of 87 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 14 of 181 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 16.1 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 57% on the year before: 225 against 143.
- Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games
- Price
- $607 median of 87 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −50.0% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 225 143 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 750 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,539 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 1.33%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.76% to 1.94% | 76 ranked of 750 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #180 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 0.89xhits against expected | 0.63x to 1.26x | 181 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #3,490 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| −12%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −26% to +5% | 60 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,784 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| 0%review growth against same-age games | −10% to +10% | 60 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,965 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 181
- Hit rate
- 7.2%3.5% to 10.2%
- Expected rate
- 8.9%
- Against expected
- 0.89x0.63x to 1.26x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
180 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $536
- Top tenth
- $43,407
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +57%
- Against Steam
- +13%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Soulmask (opens the Steam store)2026 · 18,501 reviews, 76% positiveest. $10M
- Mistfall Hunter (opens the Steam store)2026 · 16,353 reviews, 53% positiveest. $7.8M
- The Bazaar (opens the Steam store)2025 · 15,044 reviews, 69% positiveest. $5M
- Pax Dei (opens the Steam store)2025 · 7,185 reviews, 56% positiveest. $4.4M
- Active Matter (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,104 reviews, 77% positiveest. $1.3M
- Level Zero: Extraction (opens the Steam store)2024 · 2,448 reviews, 50% positiveest. $991k
- ZeroSpace (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,196 reviews, 78% positiveest. $969k
- MotoGP™24 (opens the Steam store)2024 · 1,001 reviews, 83% positiveest. $811k
More with PvP
pairs with PvP- RPG + PvP$1,53738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
- PvP + Funny$1,11269 launches priced, 197 releases in 12 months
- PvP + Party Game$1,11243 launches priced, 282 releases in 12 months
- Sports + PvP$92876 launches priced, 150 releases in 12 months
- PvP + Cute$90972 launches priced, 100 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + PvP$81051 launches priced, 114 releases in 12 months
More with PvE
pairs with PvE- Co-op + PvE$16,63155 launches priced, 88 releases in 12 months
- Online Co-Op + PvE$5,26063 launches priced, 100 releases in 12 months
- Multiplayer + PvE$2,00370 launches priced, 120 releases in 12 months
- PvE + Deckbuilding$1,11233 launches priced, 40 releases in 12 months
- Dungeon Crawler + PvE$1,06262 launches priced, 97 releases in 12 months
- Hack and Slash + PvE$1,06166 launches priced, 101 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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