Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / PvP / First-Person
PvP + First-Person: a typical launch earns $243 in its first year
That is the median of 55 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 10 of 121 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 6.5 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 33% on the year before: 118 against 89.
- Price
- $243 median of 55 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −80.0% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 118 89 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 467 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 1,037 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 1.34%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.19% to 2.63% | 34 ranked of 468 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,187 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.37xhits against expected | 0.95x to 2.01x | 121 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,101 of 6,324pairs on this board |
Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches.
| +5%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | −25% to +34% | 58 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #1,264 of 2,361pairs on this board |
Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal.
| +2%review growth against same-age games | −5% to +12% | 58 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,904 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 121
- Hit rate
- 8.3%4.3% to 11.6%
- Expected rate
- 5.4%
- Against expected
- 1.37x0.95x to 2.01x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
121 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $0
- Median
- $424
- Top tenth
- $41,876
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +33%
- Against Steam
- −3%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- PvPNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- First-PersonNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Liar's Bar (opens the Steam store)2024 · 48,761 reviews, 89% positiveest. $6.2M
- Nuclear Option (opens the Steam store)2023 · 10,455 reviews, 95% positiveest. $4.2M
- Forefront (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,939 reviews, 84% positiveest. $1.1M
- Mage Arena (opens the Steam store)2025 · 17,821 reviews, 91% positiveest. $1.1M
- Wildgate (opens the Steam store)2025 · 5,038 reviews, 77% positiveest. $1M
- Carnival Hunt (opens the Steam store)2026 · 2,116 reviews, 62% positiveest. $857k
- BRAZILIAN DRUG DEALER 3: I OPENED A PORTAL TO HELL IN THE FAVELA TRYING TO REVIVE MIT AIA I NEED TO CLOSE IT (opens the Steam store)2024 · 7,911 reviews, 97% positiveest. $799k
- The Midnight Walkers (opens the Steam store)2026 · 1,479 reviews, 54% positiveest. $599k
More with PvP
pairs with PvP- RPG + PvP$1,53738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
- PvP + Funny$1,11269 launches priced, 197 releases in 12 months
- PvP + Party Game$1,11243 launches priced, 282 releases in 12 months
- Sports + PvP$92876 launches priced, 150 releases in 12 months
- PvP + Cute$90972 launches priced, 100 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + PvP$81051 launches priced, 114 releases in 12 months
More with First-Person
pairs with First-Person- Co-op + First-Person$11,81190 launches priced, 133 releases in 12 months
- First-Person + Economy$9,96156 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
- Building + First-Person$7,38241 launches priced, 60 releases in 12 months
- First-Person + Management$7,08093 launches priced, 157 releases in 12 months
- Crafting + First-Person$6,99934 launches priced, 64 releases in 12 months
- First-Person + Online Co-Op$5,747102 launches priced, 173 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.