Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
PvE + Top-Down
Games tagged both PvE and Top-Down: 187 indie paid launches, 4 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing PvE + Top-Down priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
PvE + Top-Down trails both its tags: 2 of its 20 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 12.4 in 100 for PvE and 14.0 in 100 for Top-Down.
Small sample: 20 launches, 2 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 20 games tagged both PvE and Top-Down priced $10 to $20. 10.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 12.7 for PvE-only games and 14.4 for Top-Down-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 20 games priced $10 to $20; 10.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $3,643.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 20 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
PvE + Top-Down holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view186 of 187 launches | Without the breakout186 of 187 launches | Last 18 months114 of 187 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1874 hits | 1864 hits | 1863 hits | 1142 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.1 in 1001 in 48 | 2.2 in 1001 in 45 | 1.6 in 1001 in 63 | 1.8 in 1001 in 56 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $202top tenth $6,556+ | $202 | $202 | $161 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +4.8%0.1 more in 100 | -23.8%0.5 fewer in 100 | -14.3%0.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -20.3%$41 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both PvE and Top-Down, 6 to 30 months old: 187 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 187 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Shape of Dreams (89.4% of the money): 186 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 114 of 187.
PvE holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| PvE | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,506 of 1,523 launches | Without the breakout1,522 of 1,523 launches | Last 18 months875 of 1,523 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,52386 hits | 1,50683 hits | 1,52285 hits | 87551 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.6 in 1001 in 18 | 5.5 in 1001 in 18 | 5.6 in 1001 in 18 | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $404top tenth $27,714+ | $405 | $404 | $404 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.8%0.1 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | +3.6%0.2 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged PvE, 6 to 30 months old: 1,523 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 17 of 1,523 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Gray Zone Warfare (26.0% of the money): 1,522 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 875 of 1,523.
Top-Down is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| Top-Down | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,975 of 2,055 launches | Without the breakout2,054 of 2,055 launches | Last 18 months1,144 of 2,055 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,05561 hits | 1,97554 hits | 2,05460 hits | 1,14432 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 | 2.7 in 1001 in 37 | 2.9 in 1001 in 34 | 2.8 in 1001 in 36 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $301top tenth $9,109+ | $303 | $301 | $202 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -10.0%0.3 fewer in 100 | -3.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | -6.7%0.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.7%$2 more | 0.0%no change | -32.9%$99 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Top-Down, 6 to 30 months old: 2,055 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 80 of 2,055 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Shape of Dreams (16.8% of the money): 2,054 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,144 of 2,055.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when PvE + Top-Down moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.