Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Puzzle + Horror: a typical launch earns $849 in its first year
That is the median of 456 indie paid launches, 2024 Q4 to 2025 Q3. 42 of 897 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 35.7 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases rose 14% on the year before: 595 against 523.
- Price
- $849 median of 456 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- −23.6% four quarters on the four before
- Releases, 12 months
- 595 523 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 1,322 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 3,932 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it. | 0.84%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.49% to 1.19% | 120 ranked of 1,322 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #281 of 7,193pairs on this board |
| Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter. | 1.16xhits against expected | 0.92x to 1.46x | 897 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,916 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +35%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +21% to +47% | 190 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #390 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | +12%review growth against same-age games | +5% to +19% | 190 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #201 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 897
- Hit rate
- 4.7%4.1% to 8.6%
- Expected rate
- 4.0%
- Against expected
- 1.16x0.92x to 1.46x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
897 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $40
- Median
- $848
- Top tenth
- $23,908
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- +14%
- Against Steam
- −17%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- ANIMAL WELL (opens the Steam store)2024 · 22,873 reviews, 95% positiveest. $10M
- Five Nights at Freddy's: Help Wanted 2 (opens the Steam store)2023 · 5,114 reviews, 94% positiveest. $4.1M
- ROUTINE (opens the Steam store)2025 · 7,430 reviews, 91% positiveest. $3.8M
- INDIKA (opens the Steam store)2024 · 7,069 reviews, 89% positiveest. $3.5M
- Endacopia (opens the Steam store)2026 · 7,027 reviews, 99% positiveest. $2.3M
- Lorelei and the Laser Eyes (opens the Steam store)2024 · 3,125 reviews, 93% positiveest. $1.6M
- Crisol: Theater of Idols (opens the Steam store)2026 · 4,137 reviews, 85% positiveest. $1.5M
- The Incident at Galley House (opens the Steam store)2026 · 4,234 reviews, 94% positiveest. $1.5M
More with Puzzle
pairs with Puzzle- Puzzle + Open World$3,68033 launches priced, 31 releases in 12 months
- Metroidvania + Puzzle$2,32437 launches priced, 46 releases in 12 months
- Puzzle + Visual Novel$2,10397 launches priced, 167 releases in 12 months
- Puzzle + Story Rich$2,000292 launches priced, 408 releases in 12 months
- Puzzle + Co-op$1,92037 launches priced, 77 releases in 12 months
- Puzzle + Dark Humor$1,87830 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
More with Horror
pairs with Horror- Horror + Co-op$7,08089 launches priced, 127 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Online Co-Op$5,819120 launches priced, 169 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Multiplayer$5,680106 launches priced, 172 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Lovecraftian$3,41850 launches priced, 72 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Roguelike$3,33937 launches priced, 73 releases in 12 months
- Horror + Text-Based$2,83130 launches priced, 65 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
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