Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Psychological Horror + Surreal
Psychological Horror + Surreal
Games tagged both Psychological Horror and Surreal: 200 indie paid launches, 19 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Psychological Horror + Surreal priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Psychological Horror and is too small to compare with Surreal.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Psychological Horror + Surreal is too small to compare with Psychological Horror and is too small to compare with Surreal: 8 of its 22 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 26.3 in 100 for Psychological Horror and 23.1 in 100 for Surreal.
Small sample: 22 launches, 8 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 22 games tagged both Psychological Horror and Surreal priced $10 to $20. 8 of 22 of them earned $100k+, against 25.1 in 100 for Psychological Horror-only games and 17.9 in 100 for Surreal-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Psychological Horror alone and is too small to compare with Surreal alone.
Both: 22 games priced $10 to $20; 8 of 22 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 22 of 22 launches · $10k+ 18 of 22 launches · $100k+ 8 of 22 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 22 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Psychological Horror + Surreal holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view192 of 200 launches | Without the breakout199 of 200 launches | Last 18 months62 of 200 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 20019 hits | 19219 hits | 19918 hits | 625 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.5 in 1001 in 11 | 9.9 in 1001 in 10 | 9.0 in 1001 in 11 | 8.1 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,695top tenth $84,693+ | $1,701 | $1,672 | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +4.2%0.4 more in 100 | -4.8%0.5 fewer in 100 | -15.1%1.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +0.4%$6 more | -1.4%$23 less | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Psychological Horror and Surreal, 12 to 36 months old: 200 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 8 of 200 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Nubby's Number Factory (12.5% of the money): 199 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 62 of 200.
Psychological Horror holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Psychological Horror | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,003 of 2,111 launches | Without the breakout2,110 of 2,111 launches | Last 18 months574 of 2,111 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,111129 hits | 2,003122 hits | 2,110128 hits | 57430 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.1 in 1001 in 16 | 6.1 in 1001 in 16 | 6.1 in 1001 in 16 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,193top tenth $37,665+ | $1,231 | $1,193 | $1,073 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.3%no change | -0.7%no change | -14.5%0.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +3.2%$38 more | 0.0%no change | -10.1%$120 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Psychological Horror, 12 to 36 months old: 2,111 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 108 of 2,111 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Lethal Company (36.5% of the money): 2,110 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 574 of 2,111.
Surreal holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Surreal | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view553 of 579 launches | Without the breakout578 of 579 launches | Last 18 months157 of 579 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 57935 hits | 55333 hits | 57834 hits | 1577 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 4.5 in 1001 in 22 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,034top tenth $46,867+ | $1,020 | $1,034 | $1,161 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -1.3%0.1 fewer in 100 | -2.7%0.2 fewer in 100 | -26.2%1.6 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -1.4%$14 less | 0.0%no change | +12.3%$127 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Surreal, 12 to 36 months old: 579 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 579 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, INDIKA (14.1% of the money): 578 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 157 of 579.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Psychological Horror + Surreal moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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