Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Psychological + Puzzle
Psychological + Puzzle
Games tagged both Psychological and Puzzle: 92 indie paid launches, 5 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Psychological + Puzzle priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair is about level with Psychological and is about level with Puzzle; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Psychological and is too small to compare with Puzzle.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Psychological + Puzzle is too small to compare with Psychological and is too small to compare with Puzzle: 2 of its 18 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 16.3 in 100 for Psychological and 12.4 in 100 for Puzzle.
Small sample: 18 launches, 2 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 18 games tagged both Psychological and Puzzle priced $10 to $20. 2 of 18 of them earned $100k+, against 5 of 25 for Psychological-only games and 12.4 in 100 for Puzzle-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Psychological alone and is too small to compare with Puzzle alone.
Both: 18 games priced $10 to $20; 2 of 18 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $6,894.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 18 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Psychological + Puzzle is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money. It holds in West-facing view.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view87 of 92 launches | Without the breakout91 of 92 launches | Last 18 months23 of 92 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 925 hits | 875 hits | 914 hits | 232 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.4 in 1001 in 18 | 5.7 in 1001 in 17 | 4 of 91too few for a rate | 2 of 23too few for a rate |
| Typical first-year earnings | $689top tenth $21,859+ | $850 | $674 | $459 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +5.7%0.3 more in 100 | -19.1%1.0 fewer in 100 | +60.0%3.3 more in 100; too few to tell |
| Typical against standard | the base | +23.4%$161 more; too few to tell | -2.2%$15 less | -33.4%$230 less; too few to tell |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Moves the answer | Too few to tell |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Psychological and Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 92 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 5 of 92 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, INDIKA (51.5% of the money): 91 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 23 of 92.
Psychological is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in West-facing view and Without the breakout.
| Psychological | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view406 of 437 launches | Without the breakout436 of 437 launches | Last 18 months135 of 437 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 43719 hits | 40619 hits | 43618 hits | 1356 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.3 in 1001 in 23 | 4.7 in 1001 in 21 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 | 4.4 in 1001 in 23 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $827top tenth $14,624+ | $892 | $827 | $478 |
| Chance against standard | the base | +7.6%0.3 more in 100 | -5.0%0.2 fewer in 100 | +2.2%0.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +7.9%$65 more | 0.0%no change | -42.2%$349 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Psychological, 12 to 36 months old: 437 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 31 of 437 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Mouthwashing (26.0% of the money): 436 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 135 of 437.
Puzzle is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.
| Puzzle | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,057 of 5,257 launches | Without the breakout5,256 of 5,257 launches | Last 18 months1,499 of 5,257 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,257163 hits | 5,057152 hits | 5,256162 hits | 1,49953 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.1 in 1001 in 32 | 3.0 in 1001 in 33 | 3.1 in 1001 in 32 | 3.5 in 1001 in 28 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $405top tenth $12,506+ | $421 | $405 | $402 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -3.1%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.6%no change | +14.0%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | +4.0%$16 more | 0.0%no change | -0.7%$3 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 5,257 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 200 of 5,257 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.2% of the money): 5,256 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,499 of 5,257.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Psychological + Puzzle moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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