Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Pixel Graphics + Sci-fi
Pixel Graphics + Sci-fi
Games tagged both Pixel Graphics and Sci-fi: 199 indie paid launches, 13 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Pixel Graphics + Sci-fi priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Pixel Graphics and trails Sci-fi; priced $10 to $20 it beats both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Pixel Graphics + Sci-fi beats both its tags: 7 of its 27 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 22.4 in 100 for Pixel Graphics and 15.2 in 100 for Sci-fi.
Small sample: 27 launches, 7 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 27 games tagged both Pixel Graphics and Sci-fi priced $10 to $20. 25.9 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 22.2 for Pixel Graphics-only games and 13.9 for Sci-fi-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 27 games priced $10 to $20; 25.9 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $27,016.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 27 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Pixel Graphics + Sci-fi holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view191 of 199 launches | Without the breakout198 of 199 launches | Last 18 months106 of 199 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 19913 hits | 19112 hits | 19812 hits | 1066 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.5 in 1001 in 15 | 6.3 in 1001 in 16 | 6.1 in 1001 in 16 | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $404top tenth $38,670+ | $404 | $404 | $363 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -3.1%0.2 fewer in 100 | -6.2%0.4 fewer in 100 | -12.3%0.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -10.1%$41 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Pixel Graphics and Sci-fi, 6 to 30 months old: 199 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 8 of 199 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Selaco (31.8% of the money): 198 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 106 of 199.
Pixel Graphics holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Pixel Graphics | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view3,987 of 4,188 launches | Without the breakout4,187 of 4,188 launches | Last 18 months2,352 of 4,188 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4,188220 hits | 3,987201 hits | 4,187219 hits | 2,352116 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.3 in 1001 in 19 | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 | 4.9 in 1001 in 20 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $485top tenth $31,416+ | $485 | $485 | $405 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -5.7%0.3 fewer in 100 | -1.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -7.5%0.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -16.5%$80 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Pixel Graphics, 6 to 30 months old: 4,188 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 201 of 4,188 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (27.7% of the money): 4,187 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,352 of 4,188.
Sci-fi holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Sci-fi | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,310 of 1,348 launches | Without the breakout1,347 of 1,348 launches | Last 18 months729 of 1,348 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,34899 hits | 1,31096 hits | 1,34798 hits | 72947 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 6.4 in 1001 in 16 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $566top tenth $47,977+ | $546 | $561 | $485 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -12.3%0.9 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -3.5%$20 less | -0.9%$5 less | -14.3%$81 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Sci-fi, 6 to 30 months old: 1,348 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 38 of 1,348 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Abiotic Factor (23.3% of the money): 1,347 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 729 of 1,348.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Pixel Graphics + Sci-fi moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.