Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Physics + Sports
Games tagged both Physics and Sports: 127 indie paid launches, 13 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Physics + Sports priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it trails Physics and beats Sports.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Physics + Sports trails Physics and beats Sports: 4 of its 24 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 17.5 in 100 for Physics and 12.1 in 100 for Sports.
Small sample: 24 launches, 4 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 24 games tagged both Physics and Sports priced $10 to $20. 16.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 17.6 for Physics-only games and 11.4 for Sports-only games, so the mix trails Physics alone and beats Sports alone.
Both: 24 games priced $10 to $20; 16.7 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $3,157.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 24 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Physics + Sports is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view125 of 127 launches | Without the breakout126 of 127 launches | Last 18 months69 of 127 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 12713 hits | 12513 hits | 12612 hits | 697 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 10.2 in 100 | 10.4 in 100 | 9.5 in 1001 in 11 | 10.1 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $606top tenth $104,752+ | $606 | $606 | $303 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +2.0%0.2 more in 100 | -6.9%0.7 fewer in 100 | -1.0%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -50.0%$303 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Physics and Sports, 6 to 30 months old: 127 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 127 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Assetto Corsa EVO (49.0% of the money): 126 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 69 of 127.
Physics holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Physics | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,277 of 1,303 launches | Without the breakout1,302 of 1,303 launches | Last 18 months723 of 1,303 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,30384 hits | 1,27783 hits | 1,30283 hits | 72352 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.4 in 1001 in 16 | 6.5 in 1001 in 15 | 6.4 in 1001 in 16 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $527top tenth $34,097+ | $564 | $527 | $606 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.6%0.1 more in 100 | 0.0%no change | +12.5%0.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +7.0%$37 more | 0.0%no change | +15.0%$79 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Physics, 6 to 30 months old: 1,303 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 1,303 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, R.E.P.O. (29.2% of the money): 1,302 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 723 of 1,303.
Sports holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Sports | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view909 of 929 launches | Without the breakout928 of 929 launches | Last 18 months541 of 929 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 92954 hits | 90954 hits | 92853 hits | 54132 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.8 in 1001 in 17 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 5.7 in 1001 in 18 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $810top tenth $51,128+ | $911 | $810 | $668 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +1.7%0.1 more in 100 | -1.7%0.1 fewer in 100 | +1.7%0.1 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +12.5%$101 more | 0.0%no change | -17.5%$142 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Sports, 6 to 30 months old: 929 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 20 of 929 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, REMATCH (27.4% of the money): 928 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 541 of 929.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Physics + Sports moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.