Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Open World Survival Craft + Sandbox
Open World Survival Craft + Sandbox
Games tagged both Open World Survival Craft and Sandbox: 45 indie paid launches, 17 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Open World Survival Craft + Sandbox priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Open World Survival Craft + Sandbox beats both its tags: 11 of its 26 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 35.5 in 100 for Open World Survival Craft and 30.7 in 100 for Sandbox.
Small sample: 26 launches, 11 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 26 games tagged both Open World Survival Craft and Sandbox priced $10 to $20. 42.3 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 30.6 for Open World Survival Craft-only games and 29.8 for Sandbox-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 26 games priced $10 to $20; 42.3 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $65,577.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 26 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Open World Survival Craft + Sandbox is changed recently +1: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view44 of 45 launches | Without the breakout44 of 45 launches | Last 18 months22 of 45 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 4517 hits | 4417 hits | 4416 hits | 228 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 37.8 in 100 | 38.6 in 100 | 36.4 in 100 | 36.4 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $21,307top tenth $1,082,131+ | $37,033 | $21,307 | $47,961 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +2.1%0.8 more in 100 | -3.7%1.4 fewer in 100 | -3.7%1.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +73.8%$15,726 more | 0.0%no change | +125.1%$26,654 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Open World Survival Craft and Sandbox, 6 to 30 months old: 45 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 45 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, ASKA (32.5% of the money): 44 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 22 of 45.
Open World Survival Craft holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Open World Survival Craft | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view107 of 108 launches | Without the breakout107 of 108 launches | Last 18 months53 of 108 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 10833 hits | 10733 hits | 10732 hits | 5316 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 30.6 in 100 | 30.8 in 100 | 29.9 in 100 | 30.2 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $21,248top tenth $877,000+ | $21,248 | $20,964 | $25,194 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +0.7%0.2 more in 100 | -2.3%0.7 fewer in 100 | -1.3%0.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -1.3%$284 less | +18.6%$3,946 more |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Open World Survival Craft, 6 to 30 months old: 108 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 1 of 108 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Abiotic Factor (43.2% of the money): 107 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 53 of 108.
Sandbox holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Sandbox | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,352 of 1,394 launches | Without the breakout1,393 of 1,394 launches | Last 18 months822 of 1,394 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,394210 hits | 1,352198 hits | 1,393209 hits | 822109 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 15.1 in 100 | 14.6 in 100 | 15.0 in 100 | 13.3 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,841top tenth $239,640+ | $1,840 | $1,841 | $1,618 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -3.3%0.5 fewer in 100 | -0.7%0.1 fewer in 100 | -11.9%1.8 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -0.1%$1 less | 0.0%no change | -12.1%$223 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Sandbox, 6 to 30 months old: 1,394 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 1,394 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Manor Lords (22.6% of the money): 1,393 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 822 of 1,394.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Open World Survival Craft + Sandbox moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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