Tag pairdata 30 Sep 2026
Niches / Open World / PvP
Open World + PvP: 25 releases in the last 12 months
There is no price yet: it needs 30 or more indie paid launches in the last four complete quarters. 6 of 34 matured launches earned $100k or more, against 4.0 expected for their price and launch quarter. Releases fell 31% on the year before: 25 against 36.
- Big publishers: over 85% from majors or $40+ games
- Price
- n/a under 30 launches
- Price vs a year earlier
- n/a no price
- Releases, 12 months
- 25 36 the year before
- Upcoming games
- 171 coming soon on Steam
- Games on the store
- 355 carrying both tags
Boards
as of 30 Sep 2026Where this pair stands on each board of the front page. Every value carries its 90% interval and its sample.
| Board | Value | Interval | Sample | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Most anticipatedShare of all upcoming wishlist heat on Steam, with the number of upcoming games beside it.
| 1.26%share of upcoming wishlist heat | 0.44% to 2.43% | 39 ranked of 171 upcoming gameswishlist rank 30 Sep 2026 | #4,210 of 7,193pairs on this board |
Launch successLaunches earning $100k or more, against the number expected for their price tier and launch quarter.
| 1.28xhits against expected | 0.88x to 1.91x | 34 launchesindie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old) | #1,409 of 6,324pairs on this board |
| Fewer new releasesFewer launches relative to players. Historically this did not predict better launches. | +64%player demand against new supply, relative to Steam | +18% to +140% | 30 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025; releases 30 Sep 2025 to 30 Sep 2026 vs prior 12 months | #83 of 2,361pairs on this board |
| Rising demandGaining players faster than same-age games. Descriptive, not a launch signal. | −11%review growth against same-age games | −22% to 0% | 30 tracked gamesJun 2026 to Aug 2026 vs Jun 2025 to Aug 2025 | #1,345 of 2,461pairs on this board |
Pairs are noisier than genres: the demand boards at pair level are indicative only.
Launch success
launches 6 to 30 months oldMatured indie paid launches that earned an estimated $100k or more, against the number expected for games at the same price tier and launch quarter.
- Launches
- 34
- Hit rate
- 17.6%6.6% to 35.5%
- Expected rate
- 11.8%
- Against expected
- 1.28x0.88x to 1.91x
Launch window: indie paid launches 31 Mar 2024 to 1 Apr 2026 (6 to 30 months old). Hit odds are shrunk toward the Steam-wide rate by 3 expected hits.
Revenue spread
34 launchesEstimated lifetime gross of the same matured launches. Half earned less than the median; one in ten earned more than the top figure.
- Bottom tenth
- $73
- Median
- $5,012
- Top tenth
- $440,069
Estimated from Steam review counts. Lifetime to date, so it differs from the first-year price above.
Supply
raw release countsGames released with both tags, last 12 months against the 12 before.
- Change
- −31%
- Against Steam
- −46%after Steam-wide growth, shrunk by 5 releases
Parent tags
- Open WorldNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
- PvPNot a genreA theme, mood, feature or presentation tag: never ranked as a market on its own, only inside pairs.
Comparable games
8 indie titlesThe biggest indie games in this pair by estimated lifetime gross. Revenue is shown as a number at 50 or more reviews, as a range at 10 to 49, and not at all below 10.
- Soulmask (opens the Steam store)2026 · 18,501 reviews, 76% positiveest. $10M
- CarX Street (opens the Steam store)2024 · 17,715 reviews, 72% positiveest. $7.2M
- SAND: Raiders of Sophie (opens the Steam store)2026 · 12,588 reviews, 49% positiveest. $6.2M
- Pax Dei (opens the Steam store)2025 · 7,185 reviews, 56% positiveest. $4.4M
- The Quinfall (opens the Steam store)2025 · 12,086 reviews, 50% positiveest. $2.4M
- Renown (opens the Steam store)2025 · 1,131 reviews, 53% positiveest. $572k
- Crestfallen: Medieval Survival (opens the Steam store)2024 · 433 reviews, 58% positiveest. $131k
- Strayed (opens the Steam store)2024 · 409 reviews, 77% positiveest. $124k
More with Open World
pairs with Open World- Open World + Multiplayer$15,60236 launches priced, 75 releases in 12 months
- Open World + Open World Survival Craft$14,79431 launches priced, 35 releases in 12 months
- Open World + Life Sim$13,38736 launches priced, 39 releases in 12 months
- Open World + Crafting$7,48760 launches priced, 105 releases in 12 months
- Driving + Open World$6,51131 launches priced, 50 releases in 12 months
- Building + Open World$5,98741 launches priced, 61 releases in 12 months
More with PvP
pairs with PvP- RPG + PvP$1,53738 launches priced, 91 releases in 12 months
- PvP + Funny$1,11269 launches priced, 197 releases in 12 months
- PvP + Party Game$1,11243 launches priced, 282 releases in 12 months
- Sports + PvP$92876 launches priced, 150 releases in 12 months
- PvP + Cute$90972 launches priced, 100 releases in 12 months
- Simulation + PvP$81051 launches priced, 114 releases in 12 months
Verdicts
in developmentGMD Verdicts will be a written read on a niche, built from the same data and the published method on this site. Join the early list and we will email you when the first ones are ready. Nothing on this page is held back while you wait.