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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 30 Sep 2026

Niches / Mystery Dungeon + RPG

Niche

Mystery Dungeon + RPG

Games tagged both Mystery Dungeon and RPG: 81 indie paid launches, 5 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about".
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 29,637 indie paid launches 6 to 30 months old, data of 1 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing Mystery Dungeon + RPG priced $10 to $20.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

Mystery Dungeon + RPG beats Mystery Dungeon and trails RPG: 3 of its 20 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 6.8 in 100 for Mystery Dungeon and 18.5 in 100 for RPG.

Small sample: 20 launches, 3 hits.

3RDThird
Tag oneMystery Dungeon
6.8in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds1 in 15
Typical earnings$4,228
Launches44 / 3 hits
Pair leads by8.2 in 100
2NDRunner-up
This pairMystery Dungeon + RPG
3 of 20launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds3 of 20 launches
Typical earnings$2,590
Launches20 / 3 hits
Expected18.6 in 100
1STWinner
Tag twoRPG
18.5in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds18.5 in 100
Typical earnings$10,017
Launches881 / 163 hits
Pair trails by3.5 in 100
All indie launches $10 to $20: 18.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $9,226, from 4,810 launches.each block is 1 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices81 in pairUnder $538 in pair$5 to $1016 in pair$10 to $2020 in pair$20 to $407: too few
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 20 games tagged both Mystery Dungeon and RPG priced $10 to $20. 15.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 0.0 for Mystery Dungeon-only games and 18.6 for RPG-only games, so the mix beats Mystery Dungeon alone and trails RPG alone.

Both: 20 games priced $10 to $20; 15.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $2,590.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 20 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Islandleads this pair26.0%
PairShiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island26.0%
Mystery DungeonShiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island16.1%
RPGPath of Exile 216.6%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkAudience-sensitive +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads Mystery Dungeon + RPG

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island earned 26.0% of the estimated first-year money of the 81 Mystery Dungeon + RPG launches.
  • It also leads Mystery Dungeon, with 16.1% of that tag's money.
  • RPG is led by Path of Exile 2, with 16.6% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

Mystery Dungeon + RPG is audience-sensitive +1: West-facing view moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.

Mystery Dungeon + RPG through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view71 of 81 launchesWithout the breakout80 of 81 launchesLast 18 months44 of 81 launches
Launches counted815 hits715 hits804 hits442 hits
Earned $100k+6.2 in 1001 in 167.0 in 1001 in 145.0 in 1001 in 204.5 in 1001 in 22
Typical first-year earnings$303top tenth $17,406+$405$303$303
Chance against standardthe yardstick+12.9%0.8 more in 100-19.4%1.2 fewer in 100-27.4%1.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick+33.7%$102 more0.0%no change0.0%no change
Does it hold?The base viewMoves the answerHoldsMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both Mystery Dungeon and RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 81 launches.

Launches counted
815 hits
Earned $100k+
6.2 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings
$303top tenth $17,406+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 10 of 81 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
715 hits
Earned $100k+
7.0 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$405
Chance against standard
+12.9%0.8 more in 100
Typical against standard
+33.7%$102 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island (26.0% of the money): 80 launches left.

Launches counted
804 hits
Earned $100k+
5.0 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings
$303
Chance against standard
-19.4%1.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 44 of 81.

Launches counted
442 hits
Earned $100k+
4.5 in 1001 in 22
Typical first-year earnings
$303
Chance against standard
-27.4%1.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both Mystery Dungeon and RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 81 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 10 of 81 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island (26.0% of the money): 80 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 44 of 81.

Mystery Dungeon holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

Mystery Dungeon through every lens, all prices
Mystery DungeonBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view256 of 272 launchesWithout the breakout271 of 272 launchesLast 18 months139 of 272 launches
Launches counted2727 hits2567 hits2716 hits1394 hits
Earned $100k+2.6 in 1001 in 382.7 in 1001 in 372.2 in 1001 in 452.9 in 1001 in 34
Typical first-year earnings$303top tenth $8,496+$361$303$303
Chance against standardthe yardstick+3.8%0.1 more in 100-15.4%0.4 fewer in 100+11.5%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick+19.1%$58 more0.0%no change0.0%no change
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Mystery Dungeon, 6 to 30 months old: 272 launches.

Launches counted
2727 hits
Earned $100k+
2.6 in 1001 in 38
Typical first-year earnings
$303top tenth $8,496+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 16 of 272 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
2567 hits
Earned $100k+
2.7 in 1001 in 37
Typical first-year earnings
$361
Chance against standard
+3.8%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
+19.1%$58 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island (16.1% of the money): 271 launches left.

Launches counted
2716 hits
Earned $100k+
2.2 in 1001 in 45
Typical first-year earnings
$303
Chance against standard
-15.4%0.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 139 of 272.

Launches counted
1394 hits
Earned $100k+
2.9 in 1001 in 34
Typical first-year earnings
$303
Chance against standard
+11.5%0.3 more in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Mystery Dungeon, 6 to 30 months old: 272 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 16 of 272 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island (16.1% of the money): 271 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 139 of 272.

RPG holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.

RPG through every lens, all prices
RPGBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view3,513 of 4,151 launchesWithout the breakout4,150 of 4,151 launchesLast 18 months2,257 of 4,151 launches
Launches counted4,151319 hits3,513268 hits4,150318 hits2,257162 hits
Earned $100k+7.7 in 1001 in 137.6 in 1001 in 137.7 in 1001 in 137.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings$708top tenth $62,744+$728$708$607
Chance against standardthe yardstick-1.3%0.1 fewer in 1000.0%no change-6.5%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe yardstick+2.8%$20 more0.0%no change-14.3%$101 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 4,151 launches.

Launches counted
4,151319 hits
Earned $100k+
7.7 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$708top tenth $62,744+
Chance against standard
the yardstick
Typical against standard
the yardstick
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 638 of 4,151 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
3,513268 hits
Earned $100k+
7.6 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$728
Chance against standard
-1.3%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+2.8%$20 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (16.6% of the money): 4,150 launches left.

Launches counted
4,150318 hits
Earned $100k+
7.7 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$708
Chance against standard
0.0%no change
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,257 of 4,151.

Launches counted
2,257162 hits
Earned $100k+
7.2 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$607
Chance against standard
-6.5%0.5 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-14.3%$101 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged RPG, 6 to 30 months old: 4,151 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 638 of 4,151 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Path of Exile 2 (16.6% of the money): 4,150 launches left.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 2,257 of 4,151.

A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when Mystery Dungeon + RPG moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.