Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Mystery + Thriller
Games tagged both Mystery and Thriller: 192 indie paid launches, 14 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Mystery + Thriller priced $10 to $20.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Mystery + Thriller trails Mystery and beats Thriller: 5 of its 23 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 22.7 in 100 for Mystery and 16.4 in 100 for Thriller.
Small sample: 23 launches, 5 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 23 games tagged both Mystery and Thriller priced $10 to $20. 21.7 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 22.8 for Mystery-only games and 12.5 for Thriller-only games, so the mix trails Mystery alone and beats Thriller alone.
Both: 23 games priced $10 to $20; 21.7 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $26,222.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 23 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Mystery + Thriller is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view179 of 192 launches | Without the breakout191 of 192 launches | Last 18 months104 of 192 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 19214 hits | 17911 hits | 19113 hits | 1049 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 6.1 in 1001 in 16 | 6.8 in 1001 in 15 | 8.7 in 1001 in 11 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,212top tenth $32,368+ | $1,132 | $1,154 | $707 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -16.4%1.2 fewer in 100 | -6.8%0.5 fewer in 100 | +19.2%1.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -6.6%$80 less | -4.8%$58 less | -41.7%$505 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Mystery and Thriller, 6 to 30 months old: 192 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 13 of 192 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, The Operator (27.2% of the money): 191 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 104 of 192.
Mystery holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Mystery | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,293 of 1,381 launches | Without the breakout1,380 of 1,381 launches | Last 18 months791 of 1,381 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,381125 hits | 1,293110 hits | 1,380124 hits | 79161 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.1 in 1001 in 11 | 8.5 in 1001 in 12 | 9.0 in 1001 in 11 | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,052top tenth $74,317+ | $1,013 | $1,052 | $810 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -6.6%0.6 fewer in 100 | -1.1%0.1 fewer in 100 | -15.4%1.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -3.7%$39 less | 0.0%no change | -23.0%$242 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Mystery, 6 to 30 months old: 1,381 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 88 of 1,381 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (12.8% of the money): 1,380 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 791 of 1,381.
Thriller holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Thriller | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view544 of 586 launches | Without the breakout585 of 586 launches | Last 18 months316 of 586 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 58628 hits | 54425 hits | 58527 hits | 31616 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.8 in 1001 in 21 | 4.6 in 1001 in 22 | 4.6 in 1001 in 22 | 5.1 in 1001 in 20 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,293top tenth $31,494+ | $1,293 | $1,276 | $970 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -4.2%0.2 fewer in 100 | -4.2%0.2 fewer in 100 | +6.3%0.3 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | -1.3%$17 less | -25.0%$323 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Thriller, 6 to 30 months old: 586 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 42 of 586 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, The Operator (12.6% of the money): 585 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 316 of 586.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Mystery + Thriller moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.