Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Mystery + Story Rich
Mystery + Story Rich
Games tagged both Mystery and Story Rich: 448 indie paid launches, 69 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Mystery + Story Rich priced $10 to $20, west-facing view. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Mystery + Story Rich beats both its tags: 24.8 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 22.7 in 100 for Mystery and 19.9 in 100 for Story Rich.
That is about 1.3 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 165 games tagged both Mystery and Story Rich priced $10 to $20. 24.8 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 20.1 for Mystery-only games and 18.4 for Story Rich-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 165 games priced $10 to $20; 24.8 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $9,310.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 165 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The west-facing view lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Mystery + Story Rich is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view415 of 448 launches | Without the breakout447 of 448 launches | Last 18 months274 of 448 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 44869 hits | 41559 hits | 44768 hits | 27435 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 15.4 in 100 | 14.2 in 100 | 15.2 in 100 | 12.8 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,728top tenth $168,749+ | $2,627 | $2,728 | $1,619 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -7.8%1.2 fewer in 100 | -1.3%0.2 fewer in 100 | -16.9%2.6 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -3.7%$101 less | 0.0%no change | -40.7%$1,109 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Mystery and Story Rich, 6 to 30 months old: 448 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 33 of 448 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (18.9% of the money): 447 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 274 of 448.
Mystery holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Mystery | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,293 of 1,381 launches | Without the breakout1,380 of 1,381 launches | Last 18 months791 of 1,381 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,381125 hits | 1,293110 hits | 1,380124 hits | 79161 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.1 in 1001 in 11 | 8.5 in 1001 in 12 | 9.0 in 1001 in 11 | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,052top tenth $74,317+ | $1,013 | $1,052 | $810 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -6.6%0.6 fewer in 100 | -1.1%0.1 fewer in 100 | -15.4%1.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -3.7%$39 less | 0.0%no change | -23.0%$242 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Mystery, 6 to 30 months old: 1,381 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 88 of 1,381 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (12.8% of the money): 1,380 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 791 of 1,381.
Story Rich holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Story Rich | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,571 of 2,810 launches | Without the breakout2,809 of 2,810 launches | Last 18 months1,542 of 2,810 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,810301 hits | 2,571267 hits | 2,809300 hits | 1,542154 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 10.7 in 100 | 10.4 in 100 | 10.7 in 100 | 10.0 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,062top tenth $111,964+ | $2,062 | $2,062 | $1,998 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -2.8%0.3 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -6.5%0.7 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -3.1%$64 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Story Rich, 6 to 30 months old: 2,810 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 239 of 2,810 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (18.4% of the money): 2,809 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,542 of 2,810.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Mystery + Story Rich moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.