Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Mystery + Sci-fi
Games tagged both Mystery and Sci-fi: 75 indie paid launches, 10 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Mystery + Sci-fi priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with Mystery and is too small to compare with Sci-fi.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Mystery + Sci-fi is too small to compare with Mystery and is too small to compare with Sci-fi: 6 of its 19 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 23.5 in 100 for Mystery and 19.2 in 100 for Sci-fi.
Small sample: 19 launches, 6 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 19 games tagged both Mystery and Sci-fi priced $10 to $20. 6 of 19 of them earned $100k+, against 22.8 in 100 for Mystery-only games and 18.1 in 100 for Sci-fi-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with Mystery alone and is too small to compare with Sci-fi alone.
Both: 19 games priced $10 to $20; 6 of 19 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 16 of 19 launches · $10k+ 13 of 19 launches · $100k+ 6 of 19 launches.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 19 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkHolds in 3 of 3. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: holds.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Mystery + Sci-fi holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view73 of 75 launches | Without the breakout74 of 75 launches | Last 18 months23 of 75 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 7510 hits | 7310 hits | 749 hits | 235 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 13.3 in 100 | 13.7 in 100 | 12.2 in 100 | 5 of 23too few for a rate |
| Chance of $10k+ | 27 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 48 in 100 | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Chance against standard | the base | +2.7%0.4 more in 100 | -8.8%1.2 fewer in 100 | +63.0%8.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | under 100 launches | under 100 launches | under 100 launches |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Mystery and Sci-fi, 12 to 36 months old: 75 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 2 of 75 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, The Drifter (44.0% of the money): 74 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 23 of 75.
Mystery is audience split +1: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in Without the breakout.
| Mystery | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,111 of 1,186 launches | Without the breakout1,185 of 1,186 launches | Last 18 months367 of 1,186 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,186108 hits | 1,11193 hits | 1,185107 hits | 36737 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.1 in 1001 in 11 | 8.4 in 1001 in 12 | 9.0 in 1001 in 11 | 10.1 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,103top tenth $82,094+ | $1,071 | $1,095 | $632 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -8.1%0.7 fewer in 100 | -0.8%0.1 fewer in 100 | +10.7%1.0 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -2.9%$32 less | -0.7%$8 less | -42.7%$471 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged Mystery, 12 to 36 months old: 1,186 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 75 of 1,186 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (14.2% of the money): 1,185 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 367 of 1,186.
Sci-fi holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.
| Sci-fi | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,187 of 1,222 launches | Without the breakout1,221 of 1,222 launches | Last 18 months337 of 1,222 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,222107 hits | 1,187103 hits | 1,221106 hits | 33727 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 8.8 in 1001 in 11 | 8.7 in 1001 in 12 | 8.7 in 1001 in 12 | 8.0 in 1001 in 12 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $551top tenth $71,208+ | $548 | $548 | $536 |
| Chance against standard | the base | -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -0.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | -8.5%0.7 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the base | -0.5%$3 less | -0.5%$3 less | -2.7%$15 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Sci-fi, 12 to 36 months old: 1,222 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 35 of 1,222 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Lethal Company (32.7% of the money): 1,221 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 337 of 1,222.
A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Mystery + Sci-fi moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.