Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Mystery + Psychological Horror
Mystery + Psychological Horror
Games tagged both Mystery and Psychological Horror: 426 indie paid launches, 22 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Mystery + Psychological Horror priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails Mystery and is level with Psychological Horror; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Mystery + Psychological Horror trails both its tags: 18.9 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 22.7 in 100 for Mystery and 19.7 in 100 for Psychological Horror.
That is about 1.0 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 53 games tagged both Mystery and Psychological Horror priced $10 to $20. 18.9 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 23.6 for Mystery-only games and 20.0 for Psychological Horror-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 53 games priced $10 to $20; 18.9 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $16,510.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 53 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Mystery + Psychological Horror is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view404 of 426 launches | Without the breakout425 of 426 launches | Last 18 months227 of 426 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 42622 hits | 40420 hits | 42521 hits | 2278 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.2 in 1001 in 19 | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 | 4.9 in 1001 in 20 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,314top tenth $27,829+ | $1,294 | $1,294 | $887 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -3.8%0.2 fewer in 100 | -5.8%0.3 fewer in 100 | -32.7%1.7 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -1.5%$20 less | -1.5%$20 less | -32.5%$427 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Mystery and Psychological Horror, 6 to 30 months old: 426 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 22 of 426 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Urban Myth Dissolution Center (18.6% of the money): 425 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 227 of 426.
Mystery holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Mystery | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,293 of 1,381 launches | Without the breakout1,380 of 1,381 launches | Last 18 months791 of 1,381 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,381125 hits | 1,293110 hits | 1,380124 hits | 79161 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.1 in 1001 in 11 | 8.5 in 1001 in 12 | 9.0 in 1001 in 11 | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,052top tenth $74,317+ | $1,013 | $1,052 | $810 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -6.6%0.6 fewer in 100 | -1.1%0.1 fewer in 100 | -15.4%1.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -3.7%$39 less | 0.0%no change | -23.0%$242 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Mystery, 6 to 30 months old: 1,381 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 88 of 1,381 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (12.8% of the money): 1,380 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 791 of 1,381.
Psychological Horror holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Psychological Horror | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,390 of 2,500 launches | Without the breakout2,499 of 2,500 launches | Last 18 months1,334 of 2,500 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,500136 hits | 2,390127 hits | 2,499135 hits | 1,33456 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 5.4 in 1001 in 19 | 5.3 in 1001 in 19 | 5.4 in 1001 in 19 | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,314top tenth $30,835+ | $1,314 | $1,314 | $1,112 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -1.9%0.1 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -22.2%1.2 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -15.4%$202 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Psychological Horror, 6 to 30 months old: 2,500 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 110 of 2,500 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Mouthwashing (7.5% of the money): 2,499 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,334 of 2,500.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Mystery + Psychological Horror moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
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