Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Multiple Endings + Puzzle
Multiple Endings + Puzzle
Games tagged both Multiple Endings and Puzzle: 195 indie paid launches, 5 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Multiple Endings + Puzzle priced $10 to $20, hiding samples under 100 launches. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair trails both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it has too few launches to read.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
22 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Pick another price band, or lower the minimum sample.
22 launches, under your minimum sample of 100.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 22 games tagged both Multiple Endings and Puzzle priced $10 to $20. 13.6 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 22.7 for Multiple Endings-only games and 13.8 for Puzzle-only games, so the mix trails Multiple Endings alone and is level with Puzzle alone.
Both: 22 games priced $10 to $20; 13.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $2,104.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 22 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Multiple Endings + Puzzle is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view175 of 195 launches | Without the breakout194 of 195 launches | Last 18 months117 of 195 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1955 hits | 1755 hits | 1944 hits | 1171 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 2.6 in 1001 in 38 | 2.9 in 1001 in 34 | 2.1 in 1001 in 48 | 0.9 in 1001 in 111 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $405top tenth $14,562+ | $405 | $405 | $403 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +11.5%0.3 more in 100 | -19.2%0.5 fewer in 100 | -65.4%1.7 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -0.5%$2 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Multiple Endings and Puzzle, 6 to 30 months old: 195 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 20 of 195 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, OneShot: World Machine Edition (39.0% of the money): 194 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 117 of 195.
Multiple Endings holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Multiple Endings | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,161 of 1,318 launches | Without the breakout1,317 of 1,318 launches | Last 18 months750 of 1,318 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,31896 hits | 1,16168 hits | 1,31795 hits | 75045 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,048top tenth $60,473+ | $1,007 | $1,029 | $808 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -19.2%1.4 fewer in 100 | -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | -17.8%1.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -3.9%$41 less | -1.8%$19 less | -22.9%$240 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Multiple Endings, 6 to 30 months old: 1,318 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 157 of 1,318 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (12.0% of the money): 1,317 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 750 of 1,318.
Puzzle holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Puzzle | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view5,529 of 5,739 launches | Without the breakout5,738 of 5,739 launches | Last 18 months3,111 of 5,739 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 5,739203 hits | 5,529192 hits | 5,738202 hits | 3,111106 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.5 in 1001 in 29 | 3.4 in 1001 in 29 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $443top tenth $14,400+ | $461 | $443 | $405 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -2.9%0.1 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +4.1%$18 more | 0.0%no change | -8.6%$38 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 6 to 30 months old: 5,739 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 210 of 5,739 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.0% of the money): 5,738 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 3,111 of 5,739.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Multiple Endings + Puzzle moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.