Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience-sensitive +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Multiple Endings + Mystery
Multiple Endings + Mystery
Games tagged both Multiple Endings and Mystery: 165 indie paid launches, 21 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Multiple Endings + Mystery priced $10 to $20, without the breakout. Lens figures exist at all prices only, so inside a price band the page shows the standard figures.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Multiple Endings + Mystery beats both its tags: 31.3 in 100 of its launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 21.9 in 100 for Multiple Endings and 22.7 in 100 for Mystery.
That is about 1.7 times the 18.6 in 100 expected for any launch at this price. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this band uses the standard figures.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 32 games tagged both Multiple Endings and Mystery priced $10 to $20. 31.3 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 20.4 for Multiple Endings-only games and 21.7 for Mystery-only games, so games with both tags did better than games with either tag alone.
Both: 32 games priced $10 to $20; 31.3 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $13,660.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 32 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet. The without the breakout lens is not computed for the outer parts, so this diagram uses the standard figures.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkAudience-sensitive +1. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: moves the answer. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Multiple Endings + Mystery is audience-sensitive +1: West-facing view moves the answer by more than a quarter, and 1 more lens too. It holds in 1 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view139 of 165 launches | Without the breakout164 of 165 launches | Last 18 months99 of 165 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 16521 hits | 13912 hits | 16420 hits | 999 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 12.7 in 100 | 8.6 in 1001 in 12 | 12.2 in 100 | 9.1 in 1001 in 11 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,154top tenth $132,650+ | $1,050 | $1,154 | $909 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -32.3%4.1 fewer in 100 | -3.9%0.5 fewer in 100 | -28.3%3.6 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -9.0%$104 less | 0.0%no change | -21.2%$245 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Moves the answer | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Multiple Endings and Mystery, 6 to 30 months old: 165 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 26 of 165 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Lost Records: Bloom & Rage (34.1% of the money): 164 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 99 of 165.
Multiple Endings holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Multiple Endings | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,161 of 1,318 launches | Without the breakout1,317 of 1,318 launches | Last 18 months750 of 1,318 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,31896 hits | 1,16168 hits | 1,31795 hits | 75045 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 7.3 in 1001 in 14 | 5.9 in 1001 in 17 | 7.2 in 1001 in 14 | 6.0 in 1001 in 17 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,048top tenth $60,473+ | $1,007 | $1,029 | $808 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -19.2%1.4 fewer in 100 | -1.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | -17.8%1.3 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -3.9%$41 less | -1.8%$19 less | -22.9%$240 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Multiple Endings, 6 to 30 months old: 1,318 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 157 of 1,318 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Legend of Mortal (12.0% of the money): 1,317 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 750 of 1,318.
Mystery holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Mystery | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view1,293 of 1,381 launches | Without the breakout1,380 of 1,381 launches | Last 18 months791 of 1,381 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 1,381125 hits | 1,293110 hits | 1,380124 hits | 79161 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 9.1 in 1001 in 11 | 8.5 in 1001 in 12 | 9.0 in 1001 in 11 | 7.7 in 1001 in 13 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $1,052top tenth $74,317+ | $1,013 | $1,052 | $810 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -6.6%0.6 fewer in 100 | -1.1%0.1 fewer in 100 | -15.4%1.4 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | -3.7%$39 less | 0.0%no change | -23.0%$242 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Mystery, 6 to 30 months old: 1,381 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 88 of 1,381 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (12.8% of the money): 1,380 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 791 of 1,381.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Multiple Endings + Mystery moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.