Comparables
LeadersTop earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewTicker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.
Niches / Magic + Story Rich
Magic + Story Rich
Games tagged both Magic and Story Rich: 61 indie paid launches, 4 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.
Showing Magic + Story Rich priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats Magic and trails Story Rich; priced $10 to $20 it trails both its tags.
The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.
Magic + Story Rich trails both its tags: 0 of its 25 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 7.3 in 100 for Magic and 19.9 in 100 for Story Rich.
Small sample: 25 launches, 0 hits.
Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 42.4 in 100), so read it within a price band.
The overlap is this niche: the 25 games tagged both Magic and Story Rich priced $10 to $20. 0.0 in 100 of them earned $100k+, against 9.2 for Magic-only games and 20.6 for Story Rich-only games, so games with both tags did worse than games with either tag alone.
Both: 25 games priced $10 to $20; 0.0 in 100 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $3,238.
Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 25 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.
Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.
Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch
Lens checkChanged recently. Standard: the yardstick. West-facing view: holds. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: moves the answer.
Open free previewFree until launch: one click opens the card.
Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.
Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.
The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: those with a mostly Chinese audience, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.
Magic + Story Rich is changed recently: Last 18 months moves the answer by more than a quarter. It holds in 2 of 3.
| This pair | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view57 of 61 launches | Without the breakout60 of 61 launches | Last 18 months35 of 61 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 614 hits | 574 hits | 603 hits | 354 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 6.6 in 1001 in 15 | 7.0 in 1001 in 14 | 5.0 in 1001 in 20 | 11.4 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $3,237top tenth $59,208+ | $3,237 | $3,237 | $3,237 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +6.1%0.4 more in 100 | -24.2%1.6 fewer in 100 | +72.7%4.8 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Moves the answer |
Every indie paid launch tagged both Magic and Story Rich, 6 to 30 months old: 61 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 4 of 61 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, South of Midnight (67.2% of the money): 60 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 35 of 61.
Magic holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Magic | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view555 of 589 launches | Without the breakout588 of 589 launches | Last 18 months305 of 589 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 58925 hits | 55525 hits | 58824 hits | 30514 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 4.2 in 1001 in 24 | 4.5 in 1001 in 22 | 4.1 in 1001 in 24 | 4.6 in 1001 in 22 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $606top tenth $26,501+ | $607 | $606 | $533 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | +7.1%0.3 more in 100 | -2.4%0.1 fewer in 100 | +9.5%0.4 more in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | +0.2%$1 more | 0.0%no change | -12.0%$73 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Magic, 6 to 30 months old: 589 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 34 of 589 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, The Spell Brigade (16.6% of the money): 588 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 305 of 589.
Story Rich holds in 3 of 3: every lens keeps the chance and typical earnings within a quarter of the standard figures.
| Story Rich | BaseStandardevery launch | West-facing view2,571 of 2,810 launches | Without the breakout2,809 of 2,810 launches | Last 18 months1,542 of 2,810 launches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Launches counted | 2,810301 hits | 2,571267 hits | 2,809300 hits | 1,542154 hits |
| Earned $100k+ | 10.7 in 100 | 10.4 in 100 | 10.7 in 100 | 10.0 in 100 |
| Typical first-year earnings | $2,062top tenth $111,964+ | $2,062 | $2,062 | $1,998 |
| Chance against standard | the yardstick | -2.8%0.3 fewer in 100 | 0.0%no change | -6.5%0.7 fewer in 100 |
| Typical against standard | the yardstick | 0.0%no change | 0.0%no change | -3.1%$64 less |
| Does it hold? | The base view | Holds | Holds | Holds |
Every indie paid launch tagged Story Rich, 6 to 30 months old: 2,810 launches.
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games whose audience is mostly Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 239 of 2,810 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Drops the single biggest earner, DELTARUNE (18.4% of the money): 2,809 launches left.
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,542 of 2,810.
A lens holds when chance and typical earnings both stay within 25% of standard. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.
Alerts when Magic + Story Rich moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.
Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.
Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.