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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / LGBTQ+ + Simulation

Niche

LGBTQ+ + Simulation

Games tagged both LGBTQ+ and Simulation: 44 indie paid launches, 6 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,280 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing LGBTQ+ + Simulation priced $10 to $20. This filter changes the answer: at all prices the pair beats both its tags; priced $10 to $20 it is too small to compare with LGBTQ+ and is too small to compare with Simulation.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

LGBTQ+ + Simulation is too small to compare with LGBTQ+ and is too small to compare with Simulation: 2 of its 14 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 12.1 in 100 for LGBTQ+ and 20.9 in 100 for Simulation.

Small sample: 14 launches, 2 hits.

TIETied
Tag oneLGBTQ+
12.1in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds12.1 in 100
Typical earnings$8,729
Launches99 / 12 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
TIEA tie
This pairLGBTQ+ + Simulation
2 of 14launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds2 of 14 launches
Typical earnings$8,103
Launches14 / 2 hits
Expected17.6 in 100
TIEA tie
Tag twoSimulation
20.9in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds20.9 in 100
Typical earnings$11,548
Launches876 / 183 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
All indie launches $10 to $20: 17.6 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $8,234, from 4,301 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.5 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 40.0 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 14 games tagged both LGBTQ+ and Simulation priced $10 to $20. 2 of 14 of them earned $100k+, against 11.8 in 100 for LGBTQ+-only games and 21.0 in 100 for Simulation-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with LGBTQ+ alone and is too small to compare with Simulation alone.

Both: 14 games priced $10 to $20; 2 of 14 earned $100k+, typical first-year earnings $8,103.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 14 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Sultan's Gameleads this pair74.1%
PairSultan's Game74.1%
LGBTQ+Sultan's Game24.7%
SimulationSchedule I17.6%
CheckOne game over half?yes
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkOne-hit market. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: moves the answer. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads LGBTQ+ + Simulation

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Sultan's Game earned 74.1% of the estimated first-year money of the 44 LGBTQ+ + Simulation launches.
  • It also leads LGBTQ+, with 24.7% of that tag's money.
  • Simulation is led by Schedule I, with 17.6% of its money.
  • One game holds over half of this pair's money: read every figure here as that game's story.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

LGBTQ+ + Simulation is one-hit market: one game earned over half the money.

LGBTQ+ + Simulation through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view37 of 44 launchesWithout the breakout43 of 44 launchesLast 18 months11 of 44 launches
Launches counted446 hits373 hits435 hits111 hits
Earned $100k+13.6 in 1003 of 37too few for a rate11.6 in 1001 of 11too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings$5,486top tenth $172,272+$4,597$5,392$8,042
Chance against standardthe base-40.5%5.5 fewer in 100; too few to tell-14.7%2.0 fewer in 100-33.3%4.5 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe base-16.2%$889 less; too few to tell-1.7%$94 less+46.6%$2,556 more; too few to tell
Does it hold?The base viewToo few to tellMoves the answerToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both LGBTQ+ and Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 44 launches.

Launches counted
446 hits
Earned $100k+
13.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$5,486top tenth $172,272+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 44 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
373 hits
Earned $100k+
3 of 37too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$4,597
Chance against standard
-40.5%5.5 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
-16.2%$889 less; too few to tell
Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Sultan's Game (74.1% of the money): 43 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
435 hits
Earned $100k+
11.6 in 100
Typical first-year earnings
$5,392
Chance against standard
-14.7%2.0 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-1.7%$94 less
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 11 of 44.

Launches counted
111 hits
Earned $100k+
1 of 11too few for a rate
Typical first-year earnings
$8,042
Chance against standard
-33.3%4.5 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
+46.6%$2,556 more; too few to tell
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both LGBTQ+ and Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 44 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 7 of 44 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Sultan's Game (74.1% of the money): 43 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 11 of 44.

LGBTQ+ holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

LGBTQ+ through every lens, all prices
LGBTQ+BaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view314 of 341 launchesWithout the breakout340 of 341 launchesLast 18 months102 of 341 launches
Launches counted34125 hits31421 hits34024 hits1025 hits
Earned $100k+7.3 in 1001 in 146.7 in 1001 in 157.1 in 1001 in 144.9 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings$2,426top tenth $66,698+$2,298$2,426$2,298
Chance against standardthe base-8.8%0.6 fewer in 100-3.7%0.3 fewer in 100-33.1%2.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe base-5.3%$128 less0.0%no change-5.3%$128 less
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged LGBTQ+, 12 to 36 months old: 341 launches.

Launches counted
34125 hits
Earned $100k+
7.3 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$2,426top tenth $66,698+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 27 of 341 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
31421 hits
Earned $100k+
6.7 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$2,298
Chance against standard
-8.8%0.6 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-5.3%$128 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Sultan's Game (24.7% of the money): 340 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
34024 hits
Earned $100k+
7.1 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$2,426
Chance against standard
-3.7%0.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
0.0%no change
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 102 of 341.

Launches counted
1025 hits
Earned $100k+
4.9 in 1001 in 20
Typical first-year earnings
$2,298
Chance against standard
-33.1%2.4 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-5.3%$128 less
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged LGBTQ+, 12 to 36 months old: 341 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 27 of 341 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Sultan's Game (24.7% of the money): 340 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 102 of 341.

Simulation holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Simulation through every lens, all prices
SimulationBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view4,193 of 4,444 launchesWithout the breakout4,443 of 4,444 launchesLast 18 months1,387 of 4,444 launches
Launches counted4,444370 hits4,193351 hits4,443369 hits1,387117 hits
Earned $100k+8.3 in 1001 in 128.4 in 1001 in 128.3 in 1001 in 128.4 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings$877top tenth $69,001+$941$876$956
Chance against standardthe base+0.5%no change-0.2%no change+1.3%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base+7.3%$64 more-0.1%$1 less+9.0%$79 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,444 launches.

Launches counted
4,444370 hits
Earned $100k+
8.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$877top tenth $69,001+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 251 of 4,444 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
4,193351 hits
Earned $100k+
8.4 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$941
Chance against standard
+0.5%no change
Typical against standard
+7.3%$64 more
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (17.6% of the money): 4,443 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
4,443369 hits
Earned $100k+
8.3 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$876
Chance against standard
-0.2%no change
Typical against standard
-0.1%$1 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,387 of 4,444.

Launches counted
1,387117 hits
Earned $100k+
8.4 in 1001 in 12
Typical first-year earnings
$956
Chance against standard
+1.3%0.1 more in 100
Typical against standard
+9.0%$79 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Simulation, 12 to 36 months old: 4,444 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 251 of 4,444 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Schedule I (17.6% of the money): 4,443 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,387 of 4,444.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when LGBTQ+ + Simulation moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.