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Ticker: price and year-over-year change for 40 genres. Price is the median estimated first-year revenue of indie paid launches. The change shows for genres with 100+ launches. The same figures are on the Genres page.

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on 3 Oct 2026

Niches / JRPG + Visual Novel

Niche

JRPG + Visual Novel

Games tagged both JRPG and Visual Novel: 72 indie paid launches, 4 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

  • A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
  • Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
  • From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Showing JRPG + Visual Novel priced $10 to $20.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?$10 to $20

JRPG + Visual Novel is too small to compare with JRPG and is too small to compare with Visual Novel: 2 of its 21 launches earned $100k+ priced $10 to $20, against 12.9 in 100 for JRPG and 14.7 in 100 for Visual Novel.

Small sample: 21 launches, 2 hits.

TIEA tie
Tag oneJRPG
12.9in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds12.9 in 100
Typical earnings$5,365
Launches171 / 22 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
TIEA tie
This pairJRPG + Visual Novel
2 of 21launches earned
$100k+ small
Odds2 of 21 launches
$1k+20 of 21 launches
$10k+8 of 21 launches
Launches21 / 2 hits
Expected20.4 in 100
TIEA tie
Tag twoVisual Novel
14.7in 100 earned
$100k+
Odds14.7 in 100
Typical earnings$9,963
Launches434 / 64 hits
Pair against ittoo few hits to compare
All indie launches $10 to $20: 20.4 in 100 earned $100k+, typical $10,978, from 4,304 launches.each block is 2 in 100 all indie at $10 to $20

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page
All prices72 in pairUnder $518 in pair$5 to $1026 in pair$10 to $2021 in pair$20 to $407: too few
What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 21 games tagged both JRPG and Visual Novel priced $10 to $20. 2 of 21 of them earned $100k+, against 13.3 in 100 for JRPG-only games and 15.0 in 100 for Visual Novel-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with JRPG alone and is too small to compare with Visual Novel alone.

Both: 21 games priced $10 to $20; 2 of 21 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 20 of 21 launches · $10k+ 8 of 21 launches · $100k+ 2 of 21 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 21 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Yog-Sothoth’s Yardleads this pair33.2%
PairYog-Sothoth’s Yard33.2%
JRPGGranblue Fantasy: Relink54.7%
Visual NovelSlay the Princess — The Pristine Cut7.1%
CheckOne game over half?no
NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 3, 2 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: too few to tell.

Open free preview
ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads JRPG + Visual Novel

What this card holds

  • Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
  • One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
  • Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready
Same price banddata ready
Launched within a year of each otherplanned
Earned $100k+planned
The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

  • Yog-Sothoth’s Yard earned 33.2% of the estimated first-year money of the 72 JRPG + Visual Novel launches.
  • JRPG is led by Granblue Fantasy: Relink, with 54.7% of its money.
  • Visual Novel is led by Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut, with 7.1% of its money.
  • No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

JRPG + Visual Novel holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

JRPG + Visual Novel through every lens, all prices
This pairBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view48 of 72 launchesWithout the breakout71 of 72 launchesLast 18 months22 of 72 launches
Launches counted724 hits480 hits713 hits221 hits
Earned $100k+4 of 72too few for a rate0 of 48too few for a rate3 of 71too few for a rate1 of 22too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+25 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 72 in 100under 100 launchesunder 100 launchesunder 100 launches
Chance against standardthe base-100.0%5.6 fewer in 100; too few to tell-23.9%1.3 fewer in 100-18.2%1.0 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standardthe baseunder 100 launchesunder 100 launchesunder 100 launches
Does it hold?The base viewToo few to tellHoldsToo few to tell
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both JRPG and Visual Novel, 12 to 36 months old: 72 launches.

Launches counted
724 hits
Earned $100k+
4 of 72too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
25 in 100chance of $10k+; $1k+ 72 in 100
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 72 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
480 hits
Earned $100k+
0 of 48too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
-100.0%5.6 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Yog-Sothoth’s Yard (33.2% of the money): 71 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
713 hits
Earned $100k+
3 of 71too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
-23.9%1.3 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Last 18 monthsToo few to tell

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 22 of 72.

Launches counted
221 hits
Earned $100k+
1 of 22too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+
under 100 launches
Chance against standard
-18.2%1.0 fewer in 100; too few to tell
Typical against standard
under 100 launches
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged both JRPG and Visual Novel, 12 to 36 months old: 72 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 24 of 72 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Yog-Sothoth’s Yard (33.2% of the money): 71 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 22 of 72.

JRPG is changed recently +1: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in West-facing view.

JRPG through every lens, all prices
JRPGBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view489 of 584 launchesWithout the breakout583 of 584 launchesLast 18 months161 of 584 launches
Launches counted58441 hits48931 hits58340 hits16111 hits
Earned $100k+7.0 in 1001 in 146.3 in 1001 in 166.9 in 1001 in 156.8 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings$1,053top tenth $59,684+$1,177$1,022$2,453
Chance against standardthe base-9.7%0.7 fewer in 100-2.3%0.2 fewer in 100-2.7%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standardthe base+11.8%$124 more-2.9%$31 less+133.0%$1,400 more
Does it hold?The base viewHoldsMoves the answerMoves the answer
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged JRPG, 12 to 36 months old: 584 launches.

Launches counted
58441 hits
Earned $100k+
7.0 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$1,053top tenth $59,684+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 95 of 584 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
48931 hits
Earned $100k+
6.3 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings
$1,177
Chance against standard
-9.7%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+11.8%$124 more
Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Granblue Fantasy: Relink (54.7% of the money): 583 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
58340 hits
Earned $100k+
6.9 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$1,022
Chance against standard
-2.3%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-2.9%$31 less
Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 161 of 584.

Launches counted
16111 hits
Earned $100k+
6.8 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$2,453
Chance against standard
-2.7%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
+133.0%$1,400 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged JRPG, 12 to 36 months old: 584 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 95 of 584 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Granblue Fantasy: Relink (54.7% of the money): 583 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 161 of 584.

Visual Novel is audience split: West-facing view moves the answer more than chance alone would. It holds in Without the breakout and Last 18 months.

Visual Novel through every lens, all prices
Visual NovelBaseStandardevery launchWest-facing view1,641 of 1,872 launchesWithout the breakout1,871 of 1,872 launchesLast 18 months534 of 1,872 launches
Launches counted1,872130 hits1,64199 hits1,871129 hits53441 hits
Earned $100k+6.9 in 1001 in 146.0 in 1001 in 176.9 in 1001 in 157.7 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings$1,448top tenth $61,563+$1,430$1,445$1,594
Chance against standardthe base-13.1%0.9 fewer in 100-0.7%no change+10.6%0.7 more in 100
Typical against standardthe base-1.2%$18 less-0.2%$3 less+10.1%$146 more
Does it hold?The base viewMoves the answerHoldsHolds
BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Visual Novel, 12 to 36 months old: 1,872 launches.

Launches counted
1,872130 hits
Earned $100k+
6.9 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings
$1,448top tenth $61,563+
Chance against standard
the base
Typical against standard
the base
West-facing viewMoves the answer

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 231 of 1,872 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted
1,64199 hits
Earned $100k+
6.0 in 1001 in 17
Typical first-year earnings
$1,430
Chance against standard
-13.1%0.9 fewer in 100
Typical against standard
-1.2%$18 less
Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut (7.1% of the money): 1,871 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted
1,871129 hits
Earned $100k+
6.9 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings
$1,445
Chance against standard
-0.7%no change
Typical against standard
-0.2%$3 less
Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 534 of 1,872.

Launches counted
53441 hits
Earned $100k+
7.7 in 1001 in 13
Typical first-year earnings
$1,594
Chance against standard
+10.6%0.7 more in 100
Typical against standard
+10.1%$146 more
Standard
Every indie paid launch tagged Visual Novel, 12 to 36 months old: 1,872 launches.
West-facing view
Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 231 of 1,872 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout
Drops the single biggest earner, Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut (7.1% of the money): 1,871 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months
Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 534 of 1,872.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when JRPG + Visual Novel moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.

Releases

Ticker: 30 upcoming games dated within 90 days, with wishlist rank, release date and followers. The same list is on the Upcoming page.