Niche

JRPG + Puzzle

Games tagged both JRPG and Puzzle: 42 indie paid launches, 0 of them earned $100k+ in their first year.

How to read this page

A hit is an estimated $100k+ first year. Revenue is estimated from Steam reviews, so read figures as "about". Earnings are sales on Steam after discounts and regional prices, before Steam's 30% cut, refunds and sales tax. About 58% of it reaches the developer.
Price moves the odds more than genre does, so the page opens on one price band. The keys in section 2 switch it.
From 26,291 indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, data of 3 Oct 2026. How it is measured.

Price Under $5

All prices1 in 15 hit $100k+Under $51 in 238 hit $100k+$5 to $101 in 28 hit $100k+$10 to $2020 in 100 hit $100k+$20 to $4044 in 100 hit $100k+

Base rate: indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old, 26,291 launches. Odds compare best within one price.

Lens Standard

Standard West-facing view Without the breakout Last 18 months

All indie paid launches 12 to 36 months old. Lens figures exist at all prices only; inside a price band this page shows the standard figures.

Sample 10+

10+ launchesshow small samples 30+ launches 100+ launchesonly big markets

Hides anything measured on fewer launches.

Under $5

Showing JRPG + Puzzle priced under $5.

1Scoreboard: the pair against each of its tags

The pair's chance of a $100k+ first year beside each of its two tags, ranked like a high-score table, with typical earnings and the launches behind every figure.

ScoreboardDoes this pair beat its genres?Under $5

JRPG + Puzzle is too small to compare with JRPG and is too small to compare with Puzzle: 0 of its 24 launches earned $100k+ priced under $5, against 0 of 175 launches for JRPG and 0.2 in 100 for Puzzle.

Small sample: 24 launches, 0 hits.

TIEA tie

Tag oneJRPG

0 of 175launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 175 launches

Typical earnings$133

Launches175 / 0 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

TIEA tie

This pairJRPG + Puzzle

0 of 24launches earned
$100k+ small

Odds0 of 24 launches

$1k+4 of 24 launches

$10k+0 of 24 launches

Launches24 / 0 hits

Expected0.4 in 100

TIEA tie

Tag twoPuzzle

0.2in 100 earned
$100k+

Odds1 in 625

Typical earnings$159

Launches3,126 / 5 hits

Pair against ittoo few hits to compare

All indie launches under $5: 0.4 in 100 earned $100k+ (1 in 238), typical $158, from 13,785 launches.each block is 0.5 in 100 all indie at under $5

2Overlap: where the two tags meet

Each circle is one tag, sized by its launches, and the gold overlap is exactly this pair. Click a part to read it. Price changes the odds more than genre does (under $5: 0.4 in 100 launches earned $100k+; $20 to $40: 44.2 in 100), so read it within a price band.

Price bandswitches the whole page

All prices42 in pair Under $524 in pair $5 to $1011 in pair$10 to $206: too few$20 to $401: too few

What the overlap means

The overlap is this niche: the 24 games tagged both JRPG and Puzzle priced under $5. 0 of 24 of them earned $100k+, against 0 of 151 for JRPG-only games and 0.2 in 100 for Puzzle-only games, so the mix is too small to compare with JRPG alone and is too small to compare with Puzzle alone.

Both: 24 games priced under $5; 0 of 24 earned $100k+, odds by size $1k+ 4 of 24 launches · $10k+ 0 of 24 launches · $100k+ 0 of 24 launches.

Circle areas follow launch counts; the gold overlap is exactly the pair's 24 launches. The outer parts are each tag's launches minus the pair's, so their chance is exact; their typical earnings are not computed yet.

3Comparables

Who leads this pair and each of its tags. Free until launch: one click opens the card. The full comparables list (nearest hits by tag pair, price and launch year) is not computed yet, and the card says so.

Comparables

Leaders

Top earner, share of the moneyFree until launch

Flowstone Sagaleads this pair45.8%

PairFlowstone Saga45.8%

JRPGGranblue Fantasy: Relink54.7%

PuzzleBlue Prince7.4%

CheckOne game over half?no

NextNearest hitsnot computed yet

Lens checkHolds in 1 of 2, 1 too few to tell. Standard: the base the others are compared with. West-facing view: too few to tell. Without the breakout: holds. Last 18 months: not run yet.

Open free preview

ComparablesFree until launchClick to unlockWho leads JRPG + Puzzle

What this card holds

Leaders. The top earner in this pair and in each of its two tags, with its share of the money.
One-hit check. Whether a single game holds over half of the pair's money.
Nearest hits. Similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year: not computed yet.

How the list will be picked

Same tag pairdata ready

Same price banddata ready

Launched within a year of each otherplanned

Earned $100k+planned

The list itselfnot computed yet

Free until launch: one click opens the card.

The leaders, in words

Flowstone Saga earned 45.8% of the estimated first-year money of the 42 JRPG + Puzzle launches.
JRPG is led by Granblue Fantasy: Relink, with 54.7% of its money.
Puzzle is led by Blue Prince, with 7.4% of its money.
No game holds over half of this pair's money, so the pair is not a one-hit market.

Nearest hits (similar games that earned $100k+, matched by tag pair, price and launch year): not computed yet.

Filters do not apply here yet. Leaders and shares are for all prices and the Standard view; per price band and per lens they are not computed yet.

4Lens check: does the answer hold?

The same figures with three kinds of games set aside: games mostly reviewed in Chinese, the single biggest earner, and everything older than 18 months.

Does the answer hold?

All prices

JRPG + Puzzle holds in Without the breakout; too few to tell in West-facing view. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

JRPG + Puzzle through every lens, all prices
This pair	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view32 of 42 launches	Without the breakout41 of 42 launches	Last 18 monthstoo few
Launches counted	420 hits	320 hits	410 hits	too few
Earned $100k+	0 of 42too few for a rate	0 of 32too few for a rate	0 of 41too few for a rate	too few
Chance of $10k+	3 of 42 launchescleared $10k; $1k+ 29 in 100	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	too few
Chance against standard	the base	0.0%no change; too few to tell	0.0%no change	too few
Typical against standard	the base	under 100 launches	under 100 launches	too few
Does it hold?	The base view	Too few to tell	Holds	Not run yet

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged both JRPG and Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 42 launches.

Launches counted: 420 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 42too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: 3 of 42 launchescleared $10k; $1k+ 29 in 100
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewToo few to tell

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 10 of 42 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 320 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 32too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change; too few to tell
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Flowstone Saga (45.8% of the money): 41 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 410 hits
Earned $100k+: 0 of 41too few for a rate
Chance of $10k+: under 100 launches
Chance against standard: 0.0%no change
Typical against standard: under 100 launches

Last 18 monthsNot run yet

Too few launches to run this lens.

Launches counted: too few
Earned $100k+: too few
Chance of $10k+: too few
Chance against standard: too few
Typical against standard: too few

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged both JRPG and Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 42 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 10 of 42 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Flowstone Saga (45.8% of the money): 41 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Too few launches to run this lens.

JRPG is changed recently +1: Last 18 months moves the answer more than chance alone would, and 1 more lens too. It holds in West-facing view.

JRPG through every lens, all prices
JRPG	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view489 of 584 launches	Without the breakout583 of 584 launches	Last 18 months161 of 584 launches
Launches counted	58441 hits	48931 hits	58340 hits	16111 hits
Earned $100k+	7.0 in 1001 in 14	6.3 in 1001 in 16	6.9 in 1001 in 15	6.8 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings	$1,053top tenth $59,684+	$1,177	$1,022	$2,453
Chance against standard	the base	-9.7%0.7 fewer in 100	-2.3%0.2 fewer in 100	-2.7%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+11.8%$124 more	-2.9%$31 less	+133.0%$1,400 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Moves the answer	Moves the answer

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged JRPG, 12 to 36 months old: 584 launches.

Launches counted: 58441 hits
Earned $100k+: 7.0 in 1001 in 14
Typical first-year earnings: $1,053top tenth $59,684+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 95 of 584 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 48931 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.3 in 1001 in 16
Typical first-year earnings: $1,177
Chance against standard: -9.7%0.7 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +11.8%$124 more

Without the breakoutMoves the answer

Drops the single biggest earner, Granblue Fantasy: Relink (54.7% of the money): 583 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 58340 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.9 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $1,022
Chance against standard: -2.3%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: -2.9%$31 less

Last 18 monthsMoves the answer

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 161 of 584.

Launches counted: 16111 hits
Earned $100k+: 6.8 in 1001 in 15
Typical first-year earnings: $2,453
Chance against standard: -2.7%0.2 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +133.0%$1,400 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged JRPG, 12 to 36 months old: 584 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 95 of 584 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Granblue Fantasy: Relink (54.7% of the money): 583 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 161 of 584.

Puzzle holds in West-facing view, Without the breakout and Last 18 months. No lens moves the chance or typical earnings more than chance alone would.

Puzzle through every lens, all prices
Puzzle	BaseStandardevery launch	West-facing view5,055 of 5,256 launches	Without the breakout5,255 of 5,256 launches	Last 18 months1,493 of 5,256 launches
Launches counted	5,256185 hits	5,055174 hits	5,255184 hits	1,49359 hits
Earned $100k+	3.5 in 1001 in 28	3.4 in 1001 in 29	3.5 in 1001 in 29	4.0 in 1001 in 25
Typical first-year earnings	$421top tenth $14,242+	$428	$421	$428
Chance against standard	the base	-2.2%0.1 fewer in 100	-0.5%no change	+12.3%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard	the base	+1.7%$7 more	0.0%no change	+1.7%$7 more
Does it hold?	The base view	Holds	Holds	Holds

BaseStandardThe base view

Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 5,256 launches.

Launches counted: 5,256185 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.5 in 1001 in 28
Typical first-year earnings: $421top tenth $14,242+
Chance against standard: the base
Typical against standard: the base

West-facing viewHolds

Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 201 of 5,256 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.

Launches counted: 5,055174 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.4 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings: $428
Chance against standard: -2.2%0.1 fewer in 100
Typical against standard: +1.7%$7 more

Without the breakoutHolds

Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.4% of the money): 5,255 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.

Launches counted: 5,255184 hits
Earned $100k+: 3.5 in 1001 in 29
Typical first-year earnings: $421
Chance against standard: -0.5%no change
Typical against standard: 0.0%no change

Last 18 monthsHolds

Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,493 of 5,256.

Launches counted: 1,49359 hits
Earned $100k+: 4.0 in 1001 in 25
Typical first-year earnings: $428
Chance against standard: +12.3%0.4 more in 100
Typical against standard: +1.7%$7 more

Standard: Every indie paid launch tagged Puzzle, 12 to 36 months old: 5,256 launches.
West-facing view: Games mostly reviewed outside China. Drops games mostly reviewed in Chinese, meaning 35% or more of their reviews are in Simplified Chinese: 201 of 5,256 launches here. Review language is measured for games with 2,000+ reviews; smaller games are guessed from their names.
Without the breakout: Drops the single biggest earner, Blue Prince (7.4% of the money): 5,255 launches left. It moves the answer when that one game earned over half the money.
Last 18 months: Keeps only launches 18 months old or newer: 1,493 of 5,256.

A lens moves the chance only when it differs from standard by more than a random cut of the same size would, with 5+ hits on both sides; typical earnings are compared from 100 launches, within 25%. Without the breakout moves the answer when one game earned over half the money. Lens figures by price band are not computed yet, so this table is for all prices.

5Premium early list

Alerts when JRPG + Puzzle moves, comparables the day they land, and every lens for every pair and price. Free until launch.

Free until launch

Keep gold access after launch: alerts, comparables, every lens.